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Nic Ladds 21st Jun 2010 - 9:55

A match not out of the top drawer, but the draw is enough

Not many would have expected Group A would see Uruguay and Mexico topping the group and France languishing in third place with just one point.

Uruguay and Mexico have performed above all expectations so far though and going in to this final group match, both sides just need one point to secure their place in the knock-out stages.

Mexico (9/4) pulled off one of the results of the tournament by picking up their first ever win over France in a 2-0 win. On top of that they picked up a point in the very first match against hosts South Africa to put themselves in a brilliant position.

Uruguay (14/5) also picked up a good result against France, holding them to a goalless draw. They smashed South Africa 3-0 and with an in-form Diego Forlan leading the attack, Uruguay look like a dangerous prospect going in to this match.

This match is obviously a close one to call, both teams in good form, both right next to each other in the FIFA rankings (Mexico 17, Uruguay 16) and with both teams just needing one point to secure passage out of the group, I think this one will end as a draw (4/5).

Everyone recognises the result that is best for both sides and although I do not for one moment think they will fix the result or refuse to score should the opportunity present itself but they are so closely matches - even if they didn't both need a draw to advance, the draw would still be my tip.

As the price is so short, if you also fancy the draw then it is best to look at the correct scores to get better value. The 0-0 draw is 12/5 but I fancy a couple of goals to be scored so I will be backing the 1-1 result at 11/4.

In such a low scoring tournament so far, these two are in a select group that have scored two or more in a match. Although I don't think either of them will be able to go very far after they get out of the groups, they both have some decent players and are built on solid foundations.

Mexico have two Premier League players that have looked bright so far, Arsenal's Carlos Vela and Tottenham's Giovani Dos Santos. They could be good bets to score at anytime at 2/1 and 9/4 respectively.

The main man to get on the scoresheet has to be Diego Forlan, he has two goals already and scored 28 goals for Atletico Madrid this season. He really is lethal in front of goal and whenever he plays, he has to be worth a punt to score first at 5/1 and anytime at 5/4.

If you prefer to back a team to win, purely on the basis of their performance against South Africa and Diego Forlan, I think Uruguay could just edge it and at 14/5 they are a decent price.

The draw does look hard to avoid though, both sides could avoid tackles as not to get injured for the next round and as one point is so useful for both sides, this could be another match that might not be the most thrilling to watch but these two sides won't care about that as long as they advance.



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