Villa to make history and become Spain's top marksman
Spain's Latin American connection this tournament has been furthered by their last eight match against Paraguay. The La Furia Roja have played three teams before Paraguay that are from the other side of the Atlantic.
Paraguay are the only country so far this World Cup, whose fans have been put through the torment of a penalty shoot-out.
They have already fulfilled their nation's expectations this World Cup. To reach the last eight is a massive achievement and they managed to get out of a group that contained the current world champions Italy.
If Spain win their maiden World Cup, they will have gone about it the difficult way. They failed to beat a poor Switzerland team in their opening match.
They played some beautiful passing football but they struggled to penetrate the Swiss defence. Spain's inability to break the defence down early in matches, has generally been a common feature so far this tournament.
They played an ultra defensive Portugal last round, the Portuguese put a lot of players behind the ball and managed to only lose 1-0. The margin of victory should have been far greater, considering Spain had nineteen shots on target.
However, it took the Spanish a long time to break the Portuguese down and they looked vulnerable in the early periods of the match when Ronaldo and co attacked on the break.
Spain are 4/9 for the ninety minute win but after their surprise loss to Switzerland and their shaky start to the Portugal match, the draw at 3/1 could be a possibility should Paraguay stick all their players behind the ball.
I fancy the half time draw/ full time Spain win in the double results market at 3/1, they have nothing to lose the Paraguayans but with players like Llorente and Fabregas coming off the bench, the Spaniards should break them down in the second half.
Torres is likely to start instead of Llorente but he has been poor throughout the World Cup. His shooting has been off-target and he does not look fully fit. After Liverpool's recent season, his mind may be on a move to Barcelona or even a megabucks trip down the road to Manchester City.
Torres is 7/2 to score first but I would rather back Villa at 11/4 to open the scoring for the fourth game running.
Villa has now netted a total of fourty-two goals in sixty-two appearances and he is just two goals shy of Raul's record of forty-four goals. He is capable of scoring a hat-trick and he is 12/1 to achieve the feat, everything he touches almost turns to goals.
Villa is also 7/2 for the Golden Ball, they way he has lit up the tournament so far, unless the likes of Messi or Robinho step up their play, it may be far shorter in a few days time.
For both teams to score, the price is 6/4. If the enthusiastic pairing of Cardozo and Barrios take the few chances they have in-front of goal, Paraguay could surprise a shaky Casillas.