The Ashes Day Five - Betting updates and blog
The final day of the first test at the Gabba will soon be underway and the draw looks firm favourite after a brilliant batting performance from England on day four. All results are still possible however and we're betting on up 30+ markets in-play.
Obviously the most likely scenario is that England bat most of the day and leave little time for either team to force a result. The draw is 1/16.
Possible Australia win (14/1): Australia will be hoping to finish off the final nine wickets of the England innings for 150 runs or less by the middle of the 2nd session. That would leave around 45 overs to chase down 238 runs and take a one nil lead in the series. It would need a similar collapse to the one England suffered in the 2nd test of the last tour down under in Adelaide, they resmued on 59/1 on day five, only to be bowled out for 129. The Australians went on to win that match by six wickets.
Possible England win (16/1): England bat in attacking fashion and build up an unassailable lead just before tea. They could then declare and have 35 overs at the Australian batsman. A couple of quick wickets could put pressure on the home side and mean England could possibly force a win. On the other hand, England may get bowled out quickly meaning the Australians have a run chase, again, early wickets would be needed if England were to pull off a shock win.
All to play for.....I expect a tight start from England before becoming more positive as the morning goes on.
Play starts at 23:45 Trott watchful in the first over, he's on 54 and is 11/10 to reach his century. Two ideal players to see off the first hour in Trott and Cook really, both solid techniques.
00:10 The Aussie public not expecting a home win, the ground is virtually empty apart from the barmy army. Cook tries a pull shot and bottom edges it for four. The partnership is 136 now, the highest 2nd wicket partnership ever for England at the Gabba. Cook currently has 13 boundaries, it's 17/20 that he will get more than 16 in total.
00:30 Cook gets his 150 and the partnership also moves on to 150. England 340/1. Australia 20/1 Draw 1/33 England 20/1.
Mitchell Johnson is into the attack, he's been ordinary so far in this match, to put it nicely. He's 4/1 to take the most wickets in this innings.
00:50 England batting at a decent pace, average over 3.5 in the last ten overs. You can get 17/20 on over 2.5 in the next over and 11/10 for a boundary. Cook onto 160 and is evens to get a double ton.
00:55 DROPPED CATCH!!! Trott edges one from Watson and it's a dolly for Michael Clarke, but he manages to drop it. Anyone who backed Trott at 10/11 to be next man out will be cursing Clarke.
England 360/1 now. Australia 20/1 Draw 1/66 England 20/1
01:00 Aussies looking ragged in the field now, they've given up on this one. Mitchell Johnson bowls one way down the leg side and it's five wides. England have a lead of 149 with nine wickets in hand. Would be nice to see KP in soon smashing it around. That's drinks. Ponting may try a spinner soon, Xavier Doherty is 5/1 to be the next wicket taker.
Australia are taking an eternity with their field placings. They're time wasting. A good sign that England have landed the first blow in the psychological war, SERIES BETTING: Australia 6/5 England 6/5 Drawn series 3/1
01:20 England racing along now, boundaries galore. The lead is now 159 and the 200 partnership is up. Well played. England 388/1. Australia 25/1 Draw 1/66 England 16/1
01:25 England have been scoring at six an over for the last ten and the 400 is up with just one wicket down. Not many would have predicted this when that big appeal went up against Strauss, first ball of the innings. A great first session for England with 100 runs so far, it's 17/20 that that score 126 or more in total before lunch.
Marcus North comes on to bowl, he's 5/1 to take the 2nd wicket
01:55 Cook gets his double ton. Well deserved and England's price for a win is coming down a little whilst Australia are on the drift Australia 80/1 Draw 1/50 England 14/1
The lead is 212 now. England 433/1.
02:00 Trott joins the century party on the brink of lunch. England scored 130 in that session without losing a wicket. The Barmy Army are enjoying themselves in the sun. The big question now is whether England will declare and have a bowl towards the end of the day? Let's hope so.
02:40 'When will England declare?' is the question as the players come back out after the lunch break. I think they will want to score another hundred runs, a lead of 320 and they should get that before tea if they bat positively. Let's hope they do, it's Evens for a boundary in the first over after the break.
03:10 Claim for a catch against Cook, Ponting is the fielder and he's not sure if it's carried. They referred it to the video umpire and it's given not out after inconclusive evidence is shown. Ponting isn't happy. Fuming in fact. He thinks he caught it but it was his initial non-celebration that prompted Cook to stand his ground. England 458/1. The next man out market has Cook and Trott both at 10/11.
03:20 Cook slaps one down the ground for four, they're accelerating now in readiness for a declaration. Australia 50/1 Draw 1/100 England 20/1
03:25 Trott gets in on the act, hitting one from Watson back over the bowlers head. This is a massive confidence boost for the England top order and a blow to the Aussie attack. In readiness for the declaration we have betting on top Australian 2nd innings batsman, Shane Watson is 13/8 favourite with fellow opener Katich 7/4.
03:40 England are 503/1. An amazing scoreline. The first time in test history they have gone past 500 for only one wicket. Records tumbling left, right and centre as these two batsman continue to may hay in the sunshine. The lead is now 282, maybe Strauss will wait until 300 for the declaration? Anyone who backed either Cook or Trott at 10/11 may get their bets refunded if there isn't a wicket before the declaration.
DRINKS You could have got 5/6 on Alastair Cook to score more than 291 runs in the whole series. The bet is already a winner after just one test match.
Cook has the highest individual test score at the Gabba now, knocking Don Bradman into second place.
Australia 150/1 Draw 1/100 England 16/1
04:00 Paul Collingwood takes off his pads in the dressing room, possibly signalling an imminent declaration, come on Straussy, now is the time.
Andrew Strauss obliges!! Game on! England declare on a mammoth 517/1. Superb stuff. Australia will need to bat out 41 overs to save the game. The Australians won't have enjoyed being out in the field for so long and a couple of early wickets would put them under pressure. 16/1 for an England win.
04:10 Anderson opens to Watson and his line and length is bang on the money but Watson defends well. Watson 4/5 to be first man out.
04:30 Not much happening so far. England would dearly love a wicket before tea. They're now joint favourites for the series. SERIES BETTING - Australia 11/8 England 11/8 Drawn series 11/8
04:33 WICKET! Could England win this? Broad gets Katich to edge one behind and Strauss takes a simple catch. Australia 5/1. The first wicket of the day. Australia 150/1 Draw 1/66 England 14/1
TEA Ever since they ended the huge partnership between Hussey and Haddin in the evening session on day three England have played almost perfect cricket. They dismissed the last five batsman in that innings for 31 runs, scored 517/1 in response and now have now reduced Australia to 5/1 in their second innings. It could well be too late to win this match but it bodes well for the series. England 12/1 to win this match, 11/8 to win the series.
05:10 Swann comes on with 31 overs remaining. Can he spin some magic? England now 20/1 to win. Swann 2/1 to take the next wicket.
DROPPED CATCH!!! Swann gets the edge of Watson's bat in his first over and Collingwood drops a dolly. England need to catch everything if their faints of a victory are to stay alive.
05:40 Australia move on to 62/1 and that's about that as far as the game situation goes, looks a certain draw. It's all about getting an edge over bowler or batsman ahead of the Adelaide showdown on Friday. England peppering Ponting with short balls but they've had little success so far. He's 10/11 to be the next man out.
06:05 "Four nil, we're gonna win four nil" chant the Barmy Army, it's 25/1 for England to win the series 4-0. Game petering out now, even KP getting a bowl. Don't forget tonight's see one of the biggest games in world football El Clasico when Barcelona host Real Madrid - BET NOW
06:10 Aussies move onto 105/1 and Ponting gets his fifty. Of the two teams England will come out of this game the happier I feel. Looks likely the captains will shake hands on a draw soon.
There it is, it's over, its a draw. It was 3/1 before the match and went higher in-running. England will be happy to go to Adelaide at 0-0 as Brisbane is usually a happy hunting ground for the home team.
Not long to wait for the next game, it gets underway on Friday morning and I'll be back for that one. See you then.