Rod's Odds. Premier League Darts Week 13
The Brighton Centre on the South coast will stage night 13 of the Premier league road-show and with Van Gerwen and Barneveld having already secured their places at the O2 that leaves Wright, Taylor and Anderson fighting it our for the other two places.
[William Hill Editor - It has come to our attention since Rod sent this into us that he's booked the wrong train ticket for this week as the Premier League Darts is in Birmingham on Thursday 1st May and not in Brighton until the 15th!]
This, in my opinion, is the most important night of the league for Phil Taylor as, along with Dave Chisnall, he plays double headers. Although Chizzy can still make it mathematically I feel the task is too much for him but it's a different story for Taylor. If he can manage two wins then he will leapfrog Wright into third. That said, Wright plays against Lewis and a loss there could see him out of the top four for the first time this year if Anderson can beat Van Gerwen.
All the players have been rested over the weekend so there can be no excuses for feeling tired.
Robert Thornton v Dave Chisnall
This week's games start with Robert Thornton against Dave Chisnall and Robert was so unlucky in his first game when playing Wright last week, his scoring power was incredible, and if not for missed doubles he would have won the game easily. His second game of the night ended in a draw against the inform Anderson so the form line is on Thornton's side.
Dave Chisnall lost to Michael Van Gerwen last week and certainly has also lost the 180 scoring that he has shown so often. Thornton cannot qualify for the O2 but he can become the spoiler of the bunch and certainly could spoil it for Chisnall as he needs a win to stand any chance of the O2, and even then he may have to wait on others losing.
The obvious result is the draw for me, however if you are Thornton backers then the 8/5 could look good value if he produces the scoring he did last week.
Certainly this game will go over on the legs.
Have a look at the 180s: Thornton is 2/1 to hit the most and when you look how easily he has been hitting them, and Chisnall not really on fire, it's perhaps a good bet.
Raymond van Barneveld v Phil Taylor
Second game up is a humdinger and over the years it has produced some of the best games ever seen on Sky Sports. Taylor is back to his best and Barney played brilliantly when beating Lewis last week, so by the form of both players it should be a close game.
The only problem I have with this game is that Barney finds it hard when playing Taylor, even with his ability he tends to throw the towel in too early when he gets behind and with Taylor really up for making the O2 he knows that a loss here will dent that possibility - Barney on the other hand has already made the play-offs.
I have got to go with a Taylor win, he just knows how to play Barney and it will take something exceptional from the big Dutchman to even get a draw.
Michael van Gerwen v Gary Anderson
This next game could be a cracker as well and the one where there should be, on paper, 180s flying in all over the place when Michael Van Gerwen takes on Gary Anderson. Mike has already qualified but he wants that top spot so he will be gunning for Anderson.
Anderson is playing the best darts for a long time and when he hits doubles, as he is, the former winner of the Premier League is a match for anyone. If there is such a thing, Gary has an easier run in than Wright so the third or fourth place is definitely on the cards and, if Anderson does make it, he could be the outsider for winning his second title.
I do have to go for the draw here. Gerwen does go off the boil in two or three legs in a match and if Anderson can keep with him in the early part of the game then even a win could be achievable.
Adrian Lewis v Peter Wright
The fourth game sees an out of sorts Adrian Lewis taking on Peter Wright in a game that Wright cannot afford to lose, where even a draw might not be good enough taking into account his two remaining matches.
Wright had a good win over Thornton last week and hung in there when Robert was blitzing the treble twenty. He took the chance he was given which he has done all year.
For Lewis I feel his chance of making the play-offs was lost with his two defeats in Aberdeen and his form seems to have lost that edge. Based on the form you would have to pick Wright, however Lewis is a hard player to back against when his back is up against the wall as it is now.
I would normally go for a Lewis win here especially with his scoring power but I do feel that Wright just might get over the finishing line with doubles that Lewis might miss.
Dave Chisnall v Phil Taylor
The last game of the night sees Taylor and Chisnall return to the stage for their second match. Taylor has been here so many times and knows exactly how to prepare for both matches, whereas Chizzy might find it hard.
Chisnall has got the extra gear when scoring but he does miss doubles under pressure at times and Taylor will pile that on him.
Taylor is hitting more 180s then he ever has with these new Target darts. The grip is perfect for him now and I can only see a convincing win for the Power.
MY BEST BETS
A Taylor double on the night.
Have a look at the first four matches going over on the legs.
Handicap bet for me is on Gary Anderson +2.5 legs and still 5/6.