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Rupert Wyman 24th Dec 2011 - 10:05

Crouchy to rob all three points

Alex McLeish's side have taken just eight points from the last thirty available. They will be up against a side in Stoke that are fantastic at set-pieces and Villa are poor at the back.

The home win for Stoke is 10/11, the draw is 12/5 and an away win is 3/1. Villa are without a win on Boxing Day since 2005 and they will probably have to wait a little longer. Villa have won just once in eight games against top-half clubs so far this season.

It is a massive day for Crouchy, he has scored ninety-nine career league goals and his hundredth would surely be his best Christmas present this year. He is 5/1 to grab the first goal and 5/4 to score anytime. Abbey Clancey and Crouchy were burgled of all their presents at home by Christmas present thieves and the hundredth goal could heal their pain.

For the Match Winner, we have enhanced the price of Crouch to score a header anytime from 4/1. Stoke are fantastic at set pieces and they can take advantage of a poor Villa defence. Villa's problems were obvious against Liverpool last weekend.

Alex McLeish's side are particularly susceptible from corners having shipped more than any other team (9).

Crouchy would love nothing more than getting the goal against his former club, the much travelled forward did not have a great time at Villa and struggled for first team football. The Potters already have maximum points against fellow Midlands clubs this season - beating both West Brom and Wolves away.

Kenwyne Jones scored in both league meetings with Villa . He is 7/4 to score anytime and he is 6/1 first scorer.  The Potters have kept just one clean sheet in their last nine games and both teams to score looks a punt at 10/11.

Not only have Stoke impressed in the league, they have been equally as good in the Europa League. They are a unit, they have proven themselves in the last few seasons, they are no longer relegation fodder and they are a decent mid-table club.

They have upset the likes of Wenger and Benitez in the past by playing rough football but they work to their strengths, last season they made the final of the FA Cup at Wembley and they ended Tottenham's unbeaten run recently.

You do get some strange results on Boxing Day and if you fancy the upset, you can back Villa at 7/4 draw no bet. Villa or the draw is 3/4 double chance.

Six of the eight Premier League goals Stoke have scored against Aston Villa have been netted in the 80th minute or later. A Stoke goal scored between the 76th minute to full time is a massive 21/10.




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