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Jonathan Cordingley 31st Aug 2013 - 11:45

Expect goals on a Super Sunday – Betting Preview

Liverpool v Manchester United, 13:30 - live on Sky Sports 1

Not technically a derby, Liverpool v Manchester United is nevertheless often considered to be on a par with Liverpool v Everton and Manchester United v Manchester City in terms of betting and general public interest.

After impressively putting Swansea to the sword on the opening weekend, emerging 4-1 victors, David Moyes' Manchester United (19/10) put us all through a sleep inducing 0-0 draw at home to Chelsea last Monday night.

In reality, this was largely due to Jose Mounrinho's desire not to lose at Old Trafford upon his return to English football, but Moyes must also shoulder part of the blame for an albeit lessened but similar approach.

The good news is that there have been fourteen goals in the last six head to head games between Liverpool and Manchester United - and every game has taken place within the last two years.

Liverpool (13/8) started their 2013/14 Premier League season well with a home defeat of Stoke and away victory at Aston Villa, but it was hardly inspiring viewing as Rodgers men could only win each game 1-0.

In conclusion, both teams scored in all six of those pre-mentioned head to head games and it's entirely plausible that the same reoccurs today, but at 13/20, in my opinion, it's a little too short for a single bet.

However, over 2.5 goals - a winner in five out of the last six head to head matches - seems generously priced at 4/5 and offers better value compared to both teams to score, but with the boys from Old Trafford having won their last three meetings with Liverpool I'm inclined to pick Manchester United in the draw no bet market at a very fair price.

Recommendation: Manchester United - draw no bet (21/20)

Arsenal v Tottenham Hotspur, 16:00 - live on Sky Sports 1

Much like the Liverpool v Manchester United game that precedes it, North London derbies between Arsenal and Tottenham Hotspur always contain goals, with the last six head to head clashes yielding at least three in each, with both teams scoring in them all.

In terms of current form, Arsenal (23/20) opened up their 2013/14 Premier League season with a shocking 3-1 home defeat to Aston Villa. The Gunners did, however, respond with an impressive 3-0 win away to Fenerbahce in the first leg of their Champions League qualifier, following up with a 3-1 defeat of Martin Jol's Fulham in the Premier League and a 2-0 second leg victory over Fenerbahce at the Emirates.

Tottenham Hotspur (5/2), courtesy of a debut goal from 'Soldier Boy' Soldado (6/1 to score first, 7/4 anytime), started their season with a 1-0 defeat of Crystal Palace at Selhurst Park.

AVB's Spurs side then proceeded to thrash Dinamo Tbilisi 5-0 in the first leg of their Europa League qualifier in Georgia, winning the second leg 3-0 and defeating Swansea 1-0 at White Hart Lane in the time between those two fixtures.

In conclusion, both teams played midweek matches in Europe and I'm inclined to follow the statistics in the expectancy of another open, high scoring game - even if Gareth Bale has now joined Real Madrid.

Recommendation: Over 2.5 goals (4/6)

Worth a punt: Soldado e/w first scorer (6/1)


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