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Jonathan Cordingley 24th Sep 2013 - 9:53

Tuesday’s Round Six La Liga Betting Previews

Barcelona v Real Sociedad, 19:00 - live on Sky Sports 3

With Pedro scoring a hat-trick, Barcelona (1/7) demolished Rayo in Madrid last Saturday, eventually winning 4-0. Their opponents today, Real Sociedad (20/1), drew 0-0 at home to Malaga and are struggling to successfully juggle their league and Champions League fixtures, having not won a La Liga game since round one.

All in all, over 3.5 goals would be my choice here, but it's short at 6/10 so we move to the next option, which is over 1.5 first half goals (13/20). Now, as much as I like first half goal betting, the only time this has won in a Barca home game this season was when they put Levante to the sword in round one - and Real Sociedad are a much better team than Levante. Besides, I can't tip at 13/20.

Whilst we must consider that this game is at Camp Nou and not San Sebastian, La Real had no problems scoring against Barca when beating them in Basque country last season, but as I expect Barca to win on home soil, both teams to score and Barca to win it is.

Recommendation: Both teams to score and Barca to win (6/5)

Levante v Valladolid, 19:00

From two goals down but with their opponents reduced to ten men, Levante (23/20) drew 2-2 away to Almeria in round five. Valladolid (5/2), on the other hand, lost 2-0 at home to Atletico Madrid.

In rapid conclusion, both teams have only won one game each in the league this season, but Levante, despite two 0-0's at home, look like the better team. Factor in home advantage and while it's not a banker, I expect Levante to win and deem them worth a punt.

Worth a punt: Levante (23/20)

Atletico Madrid v Osasuna, 21:00

Last weekend, Atletico (1/5) won 2-0 away at Valladolid to keep up their 100% league record, while Osasuna (12/1) gained their first win of the season by beating Elche 2-1 in Pamplona.

In conclusion, Osasuna have a little momentum, but the double result of Atletico/Atletico (4/7) has been a constant winner for me at the Vicente Calderon and I'm not about to switch up from that bet soon.

The bad news for you, however, is that the 4/5 I got about that bet is now 4/7. I really am tempted to offer you BTTS and Atleti win (2/1) just because Los Colchoneros, unusually, conceded twice in their last home game against Almeria and Osasuna scored here last season (a great strike out of nothing), but it's a bit risky.

Instead, I've offered a short priced double to make the original recommendation a bit more attractive.

Recommendation: Double result of Atletico/ Atletico and over 2.5 goals in Barcelona v Real Sociedad (20/21)

Malaga v Almeria, 21:00

Somewhat surprisingly when goals were expected, Malaga (7/10) drew 0-0 away to Real Sociedad in round five. Almeria (19/5) kept up their record of both teams scoring in every league game they've played when drawing 2-2 at home to Levante.

In conclusion, I'd be all over the BTTS here, but the price is too short at 13/20. Instead, if we factor in that Malaga have impressed this season, even winning their last game 5-0 at La Rosaleda, while considering that Almeria have yet to win a game this season, both teams to score and Malaga to win appears to be worth a punt.

Worth a punt: Both teams to score and Malaga to win (9/4)

 
 
 

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