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Nic Ladds 23rd Oct 2009 - 13:08

Anelka ready to terrorise Blackburn yet again

Fresh from drubbing Atletico Madrid 4-0 in the Champions League, Chelsea are at odds of 1/6 to see off 18/1 Blackburn and it is not hard to see why, but could the visitors be worth a bet at huge odds?

Nearly everything points to a facile Chelsea victory as looking at the stats, Blackburn have failed to score in their last six meetings league meetings with the Blues (home team clean sheet 2/5), while Chelsea are unbeaten in 16 at home, including wins in their last six, while Rovers have lost all three away Premier League games so far this season.

Blackburn have actually looked quite good at home and certainly haven't been shy about scoring goals with 10 in their last five games, while interestingly there have been nine goals in the first halves of Rovers last two league games (more than two first half goals is 13/8 while 21/10 about the first half being the highest scoring looks a great bet).

Carlo Ancelotti will be keen to get back on track after last week's loss to Aston Villa and he will be delighted to see both Didier Drogba (3/1 for first goal) and Nicolas Anelka (10/3) both have good scoring records against Sam Allardyce's side, with Drogba scoring three in his last four against them, while Anelka has 10 in his last 12.

Salomon Kalou staked his claim for a place in the starting line up with two goals midweek and while he may not start could be a good bet to score anytime (5/4) or score the last goal (5/1).

Blackburn are slightly weakened by Franco di Santo being ineligible due to being loaned out from Chelsea, which may leave striking responsibilities to Benni McCarthy (14/1 for first goal), but David Dunn has been on fire in recent weeks and will certainly have his backers to score anytime at 6/1 or indeed first at a big looking 16/1, a feat that Steven N'Zonzi managed against Arsenal and he is 33/1 to do so again here.

This match looks set to have goals in it with even Burnley putting two past Rovers last week and goal shy Everton sticking three past them so over two match goals at 8/13 looks a banker, while correct scores of 3-0 (6/1), 3-1 (9/1) and 4-0 (10/1) all in favour of the home side look in the right area, while a speculative punt on something like 6-1 to Chelsea would reward handsomely at 40/1.

A draw at 11/2 looks unlikely and while Blackburn are almost tempting for a bet at 18/1 it is so hard to see anything but a home win, and a comprehensive one at that.

Drogba and Anelka should have their fill (5/1 and 11/2 to score two or more), while the 21/10 about there being more goals in the first half needs to be snapped up, and while Dunn (6/1 for anytime goal) could well give Blackburn hope, the Blues should at least temporarily regain their place at the top of the Premier League.

Recommendation:

First half to be the highest scoring - 21/10

Nicolas Anelka to score two or more - 11/2

 
 
 

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