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Nic Ladds 13th Apr 2009 - 21:42

Back Bayern to restore some pride as Barca make the visit

After the enthralling display last week, where the Spaniards appeared to brush aside the German opposition at the Camp Nou, Barca now look to have a semi final place in their grasp - for the third time in four seasons.

Coach Pep Guardiola has warned the high scoring 4-0 victory in Spain last week may bring the best out of the German champions, who have called the defeat a "debacle" and said they have no real chance of qualifying.

"Bayern are capable of scoring four goals, all the more so when they are wounded," Guardiola said at a news conference.

"I don't believe the statements about them already having given the tie up for lost," he said.

However Klinsmann's Bayern, 13/8 in the 90 minute betting, have only won one and lost six of the last eight Champions League matches against Spanish opposition, as opposed to the Spanish side who have won 11 and drawn one of their last 12 Champions League matches against German opposition.

If the German Champions are to play a part in this quarter final, then all eye's will be on Luca Toni to give Munich any chance in the second leg. The striker is priced at 7/1 in the first goalscorer betting, the same price to score last in the 90 minutes.

The competition's top-goal scorer with eight goals so far - Lionel Messi, is priced at 5/1 to score the first goal in the match, 5/4 to strike at any point in the 90 minutes & shares these prices with Samuel Eto.

The first leg 4-0 defeat was Bayern's heaviest ever in the Champions League, predict a repeat performance and get massive odds of 66/1 with William Hill.

A positive for Bayern is that they will have defenders Lucio and Philipp Lahm back fit after they missed the first leg through injury and backing the German side for the 90 minute win may not be a bad option.

They were taken apart in Spain, to the point that the Spanish side may feel they don't really need to turn up on Tuesday evening, allowing Munich to win the match & hopefully restore some German pride.

Goals are predicted for this match, with "over 2" the clear favourite of the available spreads, priced at 2/5.

These odds reflect not only the first leg performance from the Spanish giants, but also that Barcelona have scored 28 goals in nine games.
That's an average of 3.1 goals per game, slightly higher than the 2.9 managed so far in their domestic league.

When it comes down to it, no team has ever overturned a 4-0 first-leg deficit in the Champions League, and Barcelona FC look a sure thing to be in the semi final. They are priced as such... a not so tempting 1/500 to qualify and the best bet would be to back Bayern at the 13/8 to win the second leg.

Here at William Hill, we have in excess of 40 betting markets before the match starts including penalty specials, bookings, "to keep a clean sheet" where Bayern can be backed at 9/4 - along with our betlive markets once the action gets under way.

The winner of Tuesday's match will play the victor of the Chelsea v Liverpool encounter which takes place on Wednesday evening live on ITV1.

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