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Nic Ladds 2nd May 2010 - 15:30

Broken Hull are a sinking ship

Wigan will compound the misery on Hull in what will be The Tiger's penultimate match in the Premier League. Not only will this match finally confirm their relegation, Hull's financial situation means their long-term future also looks bleak.

When these two sides met in the FA Cup four months ago, just 5,335 fans turned up and as this is a live match with nothing riding on it, I wouldn't expect many more this time round.

That match ended 4-1 to Wigan (28/1 here) and I fully expect them to trounce a Hull side that have been punching above their weight for a long time now.

Wigan (3/4) have had a pretty miserable season themselves, just nine wins all season and a lack of goals has really hindered them, just 17 in their 18 home matches.

Hull (19/5) had their relegation almost confirmed last week with a poor 1-0 home defeat to Sunderland. They will go down unless they win both their remaining matches, West Ham fail to pick up a point and they also need to make up a 23 goal deficit in the meantime.

Although Hull deny they will go in to administration with reported debts of over £35 millions, without any real money making assets in the team, it is hard to see them bouncing straight back up. A season or two of consolidation and rebuilding is surely on the cards.

Another reason I fancy Wigan to dominate this match is Hull's pretty terrible away record. They have lost 17 and won none of their last 23 matches away from the KC Stadium. They are the only side without an away league win all season.

They also have real trouble putting the ball in the net, no goals in six of their last eight matches; therefore Wigan to keep a clean sheet looks good at 23/20 and Wigan the only team to score looks better at 9/5.

Roberto Martinez will be without Marcelo Moreno up front as well as battling midfielder Hendry Thomas.

Hull welcome back Jan Vennegoor of Hesselink from his head injury, he will be relied on for goals as Jozy Altidore's loan spell is over with a three match ban and top scorer Stephen Hunt is injured.

Hugo Rodallega is Wigan's top scorer with ten in the league and is their most likely outlet for goals; he is 7/2 to get the first.  For an outside bet I would have a go on Charles N'Zogbia, he is 7/1 to score first and the winger has seven goals this season.

With both teams struggling for goals, I think total match goals will be under 3 (4/5) but I really do think Wigan will win with ease.

I will be going for a 2-0 home win (7/1) which also covers the Wigan -1 goal handicap (2/1).



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