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Stuart Dalgleish 8th Feb 2010 - 20:42

Can Carlisle get to Wembley again?

Carlisle United have a 2-1 lead going into the 2nd leg of the JPT Northern Area final, and are now just 90 minutes away from their 5th final in this competition in just 15 years.

Unfortunately for the Cumbrians their record when they actually get there isn't great, having lost three out of four finals they've played in, incidentally the first final they reached in 1995 featured the first ever Golden Goal - scored by Paul Tait of Birmingham City in a 1-0 win for the Blues.

Their recent record over Leeds United is good though, having not lost to the Whites in their last three meetings and they were also the last team to defeat Simon Grayson's side at Elland Road in the league, all the way back in January 2009.

With the Blues only losing one of their last six they should every reason to be full of confidence going into this 2nd leg, the only defeat they suffered was a 2-1 loss to Colchester with an injury-time winner for the U's.

History, however, is not on their side when it comes to two-legged ties against Leeds though; the two sides played out two fantastic games in the League 1 Play-Offs in 2007/2008 season, with Carlisle winning the first leg (coincidentally at Elland Road 2-1) before Jonny Howson scored two goals with the last one coming in the 90th minute at Brunton Park to send Leeds through to the final, Greg Abbott will be hoping history doesn't repeat itself and his Carlisle team can hold on to their advantage this time.

His chances could be helped with some injury problems to some of Leeds' key players; star striker Jermaine Beckford picked up a knock in the weekend draw at Hartlepool and is a doubt for Tuesday's game, while Paddy Kisnorbo and Neil Kilkenny are still both struggling with their respective injuries.

These three players are instrumental to Leeds' promotion hopes; big Aussie defender Kisnorbo commands the penalty area so well with his aerial prowess, while his fellow international Kilkenny is at the heart of all United's passing moves with his great vision and composure on the ball, of course we all know what Beckford can do.

If these three are missing then it makes the odds on Carlisle at 3/1 look really appealing, the draw will be enough for the host to qualify and that's available at 12/5. Leeds are the favourites in the betting though at 10/11, a repeat of that 2-0 win from two seasons ago priced at 7/1.

Carlisle will be hoping to welcome back Joe Anyinsah to the starting line-up tonight after missing the last two games with a groin injury, the striker has four in his last four matches - including the winner in the first leg - and is a 7/1 shot to grab the opener, 2/1 just to score at any time of the game.

Ian Harte is always worth a punt, the former Leeds left-back is on excellent goalscoring form this season with 11 to his name in all competitions and would love to get a goal against his former employers, he's 11/1 to open the scoring (a winner in seven matches so far) and a really tempting 4/1 just to get on the scoresheet at any point of the evening.

For Leeds, Luciano Becchio seems to have found his scoring boots again, after going eight games without a goal the Argentine has now scored three in his last two matches - the hard working forward is 5/1 to get the first of the game (as he did the last time Carlisle hosted Leeds), 5/4 to score in 90 minutes.

If you think history can repeat itself from two years ago and Howson can bag the first of the game, then you'll be tempted by the price of 14/1 on the Leeds midfielder, he's 11/2 just to score at any point of the game, a 2-0 win with Howson scoring first is 85/1.

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