Bolton to trott away with three points
Chelsea cannot afford a slip-up against Bolton on Monday and they know that if they do not get three points, they will be chasing fourth place and not the title.
Chelsea are facing a Bolton side that have progressed rapidly under Coyle. They have strengthened their squad during the week with the signing of Wheater. He is an excellent signing and Bolton's defence will be solid with him alongside Cahill.
Chelsea have not brought any big name players into the squad during the transfer window and they look stagnant. They have played Bolton in the league recently at the Bridge in the reverse fixture and they showed that they are immense on the break.
Johan Elmander has lost weight and he is 15/2 to score the first goal. Confidence is low at Chelsea and they are not playing like champions. They look exposed at the back and they have struggled with injuries.
Chelsea are 4/6 to win in ninety minutes and that is too short for me. They have been poor of late and they may take Bolton apart but there is no value in the ninety minute market. The value may lie in both teams to score at 10/11.
Chelsea have kept a few clean sheets lately but their defence has not been convincing. They have relied on the form of their world class goalkeeper Petr Cech. They are also away from home, the squad looks like it needs a major overhaul.
Drogba is being linked with Mourinho at Real Madrid and he has gone stale at Chelsea, he is 7/2 to score the first goal and 10/11 anytime. He is not the player he was last season, he has aged considerably and lost his pace.
Chelsea have also been weakened by Lampard's calf injury and Terry's back problem. Terry has been plagued by a back problem and without their two star players, they lack the drive. Lampard finds space and Terry is the rock that holds the defence together.
If they are not playing, Bolton look a big price at 9/2. They are a top ten side and they have proved that this season. However, Bolton are without a league win in 2011 and their loss of form started at Stamford Bridge in December. They are also 11/4 draw no bet and that is also a good price considering the home advantage.
Chelsea will be pleased by the improved form of their summer buy Ramires. He is starting to look like the player Chelsea thought they had purchased, he is strong on the ball and he has a killer pass. He is a massive 16/1 to score the first goal and he regularly shoots from distance.
If Chelsea win it is likely to be by a small score line and Bolton plus one goal at 23/20 has some appeal. The match winner offer for Monday is Chelsea to win to nil at 13/10, with Chelsea's defensive problems and the lack of cohesion, I do not think they will keep a clean sheet away from home.
Bolton are 6/1 to come from behind and win or draw. They have strong support behind them and they will not be looking for only a point. They will play counter attacking football at home and will try and expose the blues' weaknesses at right back. Boswinga is good going forward but regularly forgets his defensive duties.