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Jonathan Cordingley 15th Nov 2013 - 13:15

Chile should have no problems scoring at Wembley - Betting Preview

Held at London's Wembley stadium, Roy Hodgson's England take on Jorge Sampaoli's high- octane Chile side in what should be an entertaining, goal laden friendly.

After a strong qualifying campaign that saw England (11/10) defeat Poland 2-0 at Wembley to seal their place in Brazil 2014, the Three Lions on duty against Chile will be keen to impress Hodgson and further their chances of being in the final 23 man World Cup squad.

Unable to participate tonight through injury are Danny Welbeck, Kyle Walker and (captain) Steven Gerrard. Frank Lampard, set to receive a 'Golden Cap' in recognition of his 103 England appearances, will captain the side, with Wayne Rooney (5/1 to score first, 5/4 anytime) also expected to start.

Chile (3/1), who play an attractive brand of attacking football under the tutelage of former Universidad de Chile coach Jorge Sampaoli, finished third in their South American World Cup 2014 qualification group, guaranteeing their spot in Brazil after beating Ecuador 2-1 in Santiago.

One of the scorers in that game was a name familiar to Premier League fans in Gary Medel, but somewhat more famous and consistent in front of goal is Barcelona's Alexis Sanchez (8/1 to score first, 11/4 anytime), who has racked up an amazing tally of eight goals in only eight games.

Indeed, the 10/1 about Sanchez to score and Chile to win seems far too generous and perhaps partly leveraged against the expectancy that many punters blindly back anything to do with an England victory out of misguided patriotism.

However, should you fancy a punt on our England Headline Offer, Rooney to score and England to win is priced at 5/2. Our final enhanced offer is, considering that four out of Chile's last five away games have seen four goals or more scored, very tempting with four goals or more priced at 5/2.

All in all, both teams to score (13/20) - a winning bet in all bar one of Chile's last five road games - over 2.5 goals (8/11) and the double chance of Draw/Chile (7/10) look like good bets, particularly when you consider that Sampaoli's charges have, in their last nine games, yet to taste defeat against teams such as Columbia, Brazil, Uruguay and Spain.

However, for my money, the best bet - which has been backed in from 21/20 to 4/5 since I recommended the punt via my Twitter account, @JCLaLiga , is Time Of 1st Chile goal Over/Under: Up to and including the 60th minute.

I like this bet because Chilean sources have informed me that Chile are highly motivated to play England at Wembley and will field their strongest team, but with a raft of changes expected in the second half.

Notably, Chile have scored ten first half goals in their last three away games - three to Columbia, two against Spain and five against Iraq - but conceded three second half goals to draw in Columbia, with Spain netting a 93rd minute leveller to salvage a draw.

So, with a first half goal in a 2-2 draw with Brazil and the same away to Paraguay thrown into the equation, all of this this suggest to me that Chile can be trusted to score in the first half but not to actually win the game.  I wouldn't, however, be surprised if Sampaoli's Chile did beat England, but a draw seems just as plausible given the stats and expected personnel changes for the second period.

Anyway, whatever you bet on, enjoy the game and don't forget that we offer a wide range on In-Play markets here at the Home of Betting.

Recommendation: Time Of 1st Chile goal Over/Under: Up to and including the 60th minute (4/5)

Worth a punt: Sanchez anytime scorer (11/4)

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