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Rupert Wyman 26th Nov 2011 - 12:02

Citizens arrest at Anfield

Liverpool take on Man City on Sunday afternoon. They will be buoyed by the fantastic result against Chelsea last weekend. They were superb at times in their 2-1 victory at the Bridge. They were strong in the first half and managed to hold-off a strong Blues charge in the final forty-five minutes.

They are not involved in European competition this season and they will be well rested since last weekend. However, their good form this season has been away from Anfield. They have struggled to get going in-front of the Kop; they could not finish off Swansea recently. Just two of the Reds opening six home matches have been won.

Liverpool are 7/4 to win in ninety minutes, the draw is 23/10 and an away win is 6/4. They play a Man City side that will be disappointed with the midweek loss against Napoli. They are not out of the Champions League yet but it will be hard for them to reach the knock-out stages.

After a tough trip to Naples, City will not fancy a North-West derby. Excluding games against Manchester United, Liverpool have lost just one of their last 41 North West derbies at Anfield (W30 D10 L1).

City do have a massive squad and they will be able to rotate players. They are in command in the Premier League and other than Silva, their star player this season must be Sergio Aguero. He has ten goals in eleven league appearances.

He is 5/1 to grab the first goal and 6/4 to score anytime. Kenny Dalglish's new look side were fortunate in the second half against a struggling Chelsea side. They will not be able to give that much space to a City side that have no problems finding the net.

Man City have now scored two or more goals in each of their last 14 Premier League games, a record for the division. Over 2.5 goals is 4/5 and over 3.5 goals is 21/10. If you think that the game will be very one sided in City's favor, four or more City goals is 14/1.

The Citizens haven't won at Anfield in their last eight Premier League visits and if they want to win the league, they will need to win these sorts of matches. Liverpool were actually the last team to stop Manchester City scoring in the Premier League and they are 23/10 to keep a clean sheet.

There is no value in that price, they are erratic at the back and Carragher's best years are behind him. The Match Winner is based around City's rich goalscoring form and Liverpool's ability to net goals. It is 2/1 for either side to score three or more goals.

I would not be taking the 2/1, Liverpool have allowed their opponents fewer shots on target against them than any other side in the Premier League (41). Liverpool may be poor in defence but they will not ship goals.



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