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Rupert Wyman 6th Dec 2011 - 13:21

City find goals in a hopeless place

City's Champions League fate is no longer in their own hands, they need to beat Bayern at home but hope that Napoli lose to Villarreal in their final group match.

If City win, they will be the first team to beat the Germans in Europe this season. City are 8/13 to win the clash, the draw is 3/1 and the away win is 4/1. Bayern have won four of their five games so far and although they have no need to win this clash, they may be too strong for City.

Bayern have Champions League experience and that has been City's downfall. They may be taking the Premier League by storm but they look like they will be playing Europa League football later this season.

Bayern's players will want Napoli to qualify, if City get into the knock-out stages of the competition, they may find their feet in the latter stages and be Bayern's downfall.

We have a special price Match Winner on City to qualify for the knock-out stages of the Champions League, they were 2/1 but William Hill have enhanced the price to 5/2!

Bayern have lost just one of their last seven Champions League away games (W5 D1 L1). If you fancy backing them, you can get 3/1 draw no bet. However, Bayern will be without the midfielders Arjen Robben and Toni Kroos.

Mario Gomez has scored six goals in his five Champions League appearances this season and is joint-top scorer with Lionel Messi in the competition. He is 13/2 to score the first goal and 15/8 to find the net anytime. He scored a hat-trick against Napoli and he is 40/1 to repeat the feat.

Aguero has made a massive impact at the Etihad Stadium and he has scored thirteen goals in nineteen appearances. He is 5/1 to score the opener and 6/1 to bag two or more goals.

He helped City destroy Norwich 5-1 at home in the league at the weekend, the Norfolk side barely had the ball during the match.

Man City are 13/2 to come from behind and win, the players will sense whether they can qualify by the noise from the crowd. If Villarreal take a surprise lead against Napoli, then you can expect the players to react.

City will definitely have the upper hand in the last ten minutes if they know that Villarreal look like beating the Italians. Man City are more than capable of scoring goals and they have the best bench in European football. You can get Man City -1 goal at 16/5 in the second half handicaps markets and that looks a realistic punt.

It is 9/2 for a red card and with Balotelli in the team, anything is possible. City could well lose a man, they will not be able to skip any challenges and there could be a few sulky superstars looking for scapegoats at the final whistle.



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