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Simon Gott 27th Oct 2012 - 11:46

Everton v Liverpool preview

The first Merseyside derby kicks off Sunday lunchtime with both teams in need of the three points for very different reasons and with Everton going into the game as favourites.

David Moyes' team (17/10) sitting pretty in the Premier League after making an uncharacteristically good start to the campaign, taking 15 points from eight games. Only in 2004-05 when they had 16 points after eight games have Everton made a better start to a Premier League season than this campaign. Whereas Liverpool (19/10) are still languishing in the bottom half of the table and a win at Goodison today would surely do The Reds and their under-fire boss Brendan Rogers no harm at all.

The Toffees are without Stephen Pienaar following his sending off against QPR but are hopeful of the return of Fellaini from a knee injury. Steve Hibbert could also return following his recent calf strain. This should help them maintain their impressive recent home form of six wins and 1 draw in their past 7 matches at Goodison.

Nikica Jelavic looks good value to score (6/1 first, 7/4 anytime) as does the returning Fellaini (13-2 first 15/8 anytime).

Liverpool will hope to welcome back Pepe Reina after his hamstring injury and Glen Johnson 20/1 first, 7/1 anytime) should be fit after coming off at half time in midweek. This will please the Reds fans as only Sunderland (32%) have posted a worse shooting accuracy rate than Liverpool (33%) this season. They will again be looking to the emerging talents of 17 year old Raheem Sterling (9/1 first, 10/3 anytime) to steer them to the points.

The recent record between the teams doesn’t make happy reading for Everton. Liverpool have won seven and lost just one of the last 11 Premier League Merseyside derbies. In that run, Everton have failed to score in seven of the 11 matches. Eight of the last 10 red cards in this fixture have been given to Everton players and they have had six players dismissed in the last seven matches v Liverpool at Goodison Park.

All last season’s meetings were won by the red half of the city, including the FA cup semi final but Everton got the final bragging rights by finishing above their Anfield neighbours for only the second time in 25 attempts.

So it’s all set up for another fiery Merseyside derby. Will the form book go out the window or will Everton be able to justify their favourites tag?


Best bets:

Correct score 1-1 @ 6/1

Under 2.5 Goals @ 4/5



Over 2.5 Goals over 12 corners and over 6 cards @ 14/1

Double result Liverpool/draw @ 14/1



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