Expect a goal rush in Seville tonight
Sevilla v Villarreal, 21:00- live on Sky Sports 3
Two - nil up after 30 minutes and seemingly cruising into the next round of the Copa del Rey, Villarreal unusually threw away their lead to eventually draw 3-3 with Gregorio Manzano's Sevilla in the first leg of this Spanish cup quarter final matchup.
As is the case in English cup competition, away goals count double and The Yellow Submarines consequently have an uphill task on their hands in the Ramon Sanchez tonight.
Can they do it? It's a tough call. Villarreal (12/5) are certainly the better, more consistent team, but then they have an average away record in the league with three wins, two draws and four defeats.
Of Course, this is a cup game and you can't discount anything, but with Nilmar, Senna, Lopez and possibly Cani out, a draw (9/4) could be considered the most sensible bet in the 90 minute market.
However, topsy-turvy Sevilla (10/11), just when they look to have turned a corner, managed to shockingly lose 2-1 to Espanyol at home in the league last Sunday so you really could justify any outcome.
Given all of the above, I think attention is better served on goal related markets. Sevilla's Alvaro Negredo (9/2 to score first, 6/5 anytime) is my favourite pick to net one tonight as he scored twice in the first leg of this tie and once against Espanyol.
Consistency and familiarity has made my decision, but also consistent - though less familiar - is Villarreal striker Ruben (8/1 to score first, 11/4 anytime). Like Negredo, Ruben scored in the first part of this two legged quarter final and also in his team's league match at the weekend.
I can't be sure who will start up front for either team tonight, but Villarreal's Giuseppe Rossi (7/1 to score first, 2/1 anytime) along with Sevilla's tandem of Fabiano (9/2 to score first, 6/5 anytime) and Kanoute (5/1 to score first, 5/4 anytime) should also be considered as potential scorers.
Current form suggests that Negredo and Ruben as anytime scorers doubled is a good punt at 15/2, but you could make an argument for doubling several of the players I've mentioned above - Options aplenty indeed.
With 8/15 bets such as the "Yes" option in the both teams to score market being too short to recommend, I tip up to you over 3.5 goals at 13/8. You could argue that the second leg of this tie will be a low scoring affair because Sevilla will be happy to play out a draw, but then their best form of defence is most certainly their attack.
I have two televisions and can watch this and the Man City game at once. If you don't have such a living room luxury, why not watch one then monitor the other and bet in-play at Williamhill.com?