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Jonathan Cordingley 14th Sep 2013 - 15:39

Goals unlikely to flow at St Mary's - Betting Preview

Southampton v West Ham, 16:00 - live on Sky Sports 1

The international break is over, you've since seen a few league games on TV, but now it's time for Sky's flagship Super Sunday game! Of course, I won't lie to you and say that Southampton v West Ham is a big clash, but its football, we're all going to watch it - and most likely place a bet.

Hosts Southampton (17/20), since the 2013/14 Premier League season began, have won 1-0 away at West Brom, drawn 1-1 at home to Sunderland and lost 1-0 away to Norwich. Therefore, in this period, the Saints have only scored two goals in three games, with Ricky Lambert (11/2 to score first, EVS anytime) notching just the once.

Of course, Pablo Osvaldo (11/2 to score first, 5/4 anytime), who played under Southampton coach Mauricio Pochettino at Espanyol, has been brought in to ease the burden on Lambert, but the Argentine born Italian international has yet to get off the mark in England.

West Ham (4/1), courtesy of goals from Joe Cole and Kevin Nolan (12/1 to score first, 4/1 anytime), defeated Cardiff 2-0 in London on the opening weekend, but could not find the back of the net at the other end of the country, drawing 0-0 with Newcastle.  In their third Premier League game of the season, Sam Allardyce's Hammers, surprisingly, lost 1-0 away to Stoke.

In conclusion, neither team has impressed this season and although I'd side with Southampton because they're the home team and have better offensive players, the best bet appears to be in the over/under goals market.

Indeed, with six Premier League fixtures played between them, every game has contained two goals or less. Therefore, when we also factor in that West Ham's Andy Carroll and Joe Cole are highly likely to miss the trip to Southampton due to injury, under 2.5 goals has to be the call.

Finally, for the stat lovers, as Mark Noble has scored three goals in the last three league meetings between West Ham and Southampton, we also have an Opta Offer of the same player to score anytime at an enhanced price of 7/1.

Recommendation: Under 2.5 goals (7/10)


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