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Rupert Wyman 2nd Apr 2012 - 11:24

He will rock the Boat

Barcelona blamed the poor state of the pitch for their goalless draw in Milan last week. Only a win will do for the Catalan club, if the match ends a score draw they will be knocked out of the competition.

Barca may still have a chance of winning the league and they still have to play Real Madrid but this is their most realistic chance of landing major silverware.

They are fantastic at Camp Nou and with the pitch in great condition, there will be no excuses should they fail to qualify. Guardiola's team have won seventeen consecutive games at home and the last time they were held there was against Milan in the Champions League group stage last September.

The Catalan giants are as short as 2/7 to win at home, the draw is 4/1 and the away win could be a steal at 11/1. Milan have the likes of Ibrahimovic, Robinho and Boateng in the team, they are not to be taken lightly.

In the home leg, it was a defensive master class by the veterans Nesta and Bonera. Milan will try and attack Barca on the break and it could be very Mourinho-esque. AC Milan or the draw looks massive at 11/4, you can back Milan at 8/1 draw no bet.

Ibrahimovic was at Barcelona but he was never their type of player. He is not that glamorous, he does not have the style or panache of the Catalan stars. However, his strength is his power and he can be unplayable at times. He can turn the game by himself and he would love nothing more than scoring at his old hunting ground.

Zlatan can be backed at 10/1 to open the scoring and he is 7/2 to score anytime. Boateng looks a massive price at 7/1 to score anytime. He has a fantastic shot from distance and he nearly opened the scoring in Milan. He is very skilful and if Milan are playing deep, we can expect him to take plenty of shots from distance.

For the Match Winner, we have enhanced the price of both Ibrahimovic and Messi scoring from 5/1 to 6/1! Messi is 2/7 anytime scorer but he will have a tougher time finding the net against the Milan defence, they are more resilient than almost all the La Liga sides. Nesta gave Messi a really tough time in the first leg and he was rested at the weekend.

World Player of the Year Messi needs one more goal to break the Champions League season record, he will really want that goal on Tuesday night.

Barcelona have been playing Puyol out of position and they have been utilising Mascherano in defence. They are not the same side as last season and they don't look that composed at the back. You can back both teams to score at even money, AC Milan are 7/1 to find the net both halves.




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