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Rupert Wyman 18th Oct 2009 - 6:05

Inconsistent Wigan can upset City

Wigan have been very inconsistent so far in this Premier League campaign and this is highlighted by the fact that in their last match at home they beat Chelsea but then they followed this up with a defeat at Hull.

Nevertheless at 4/1 to beat Manchester City Wigan look a bit of value. City are a short 8/11 to leave the DW Stadium with the three points and the draw is priced at 5/2.

The latter can probably be ruled out as both sides will be going all out for the win plus only one of Wigan's last 20 league matches has ended in a draw. Therefore a double chance bet of either a home win or an away win at 21/74 looks a good bet for a bit of extra security.

City have so far done much better than most people expected as Mark Hughes has been able to contain all the egos in the dressing room and keep those that aren't always playing happy. However, they still have not fully convinced defensively and for this short trip to Wigan they could be without many of their defenders through injury.

Indeed the whole back four who started the last match against Aston Villa - Pablo Zabaleta, Kolo Toure, Joleon Lescott and Wayne Bridge - face fitness tests. In addition possible replacements Vincent Kompany and Nedum Onuoha are ruled out and defensive midfielder Nigel de Jong is a doubt.

A makeshift back four looks like it will have to be deployed and while Wigan haven't got the greatest attack in the league they caused a far superior defensive side, Chelsea, enough problems and if they can cause them to worry then they definitely can get at City's backline.

Wigan will likely start with Jason Scotland and Hugo Rodallega up front and they can be backed at 10/3 and 11/4 respectively to get on the scoresheet.

There may be doubts about Mark Hughes' side defensively but the same can't be said of them at the other end of the pitch. They have scored 15 goals in their seven matches and with the in-form Craig Bellamy and Emmanuel Adebayor in attack as well as Carlos Tevez then goals could be the order of the day at the DW Stadium.

Adebayor has four goals in five starts for City and Bellamy, who has been singled out for special praise by Hughes this week, has scored four goals in his last four league matches.

You can back either of the pair to score first at 7/4 in the first goalscorers coupled market.

Over two goals can be backed at 4/5 and this looks well worth a punt.

Despite the greater firepower in City's line-up the aforementioned defensive problems could be too great to overcome and at the prices one has to fancy a home win. This would therefore extend City's poor form away at the Latics as they have lost three and won none of their four visits to Wigan in the Premier League.



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