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Stuart Dalgleish 5th Sep 2011 - 22:00

Make mine a double! Six points are just the tonic for Fabio

England v Wales preview - 19:45 live on ITV1

Fabio Capello has said that Andy Carroll (9/2 first goal) must 'drink less than the others' if he's to become a good sportsman, surely even the Italian will allow his players a celebratory drink if they beat Wales and effectively qualify for the Euro 2012 finals.

Fabio might even buy Gary Speed a pint, as Wales (20/1) have put England (1/7, the draw 6/1) in pole position by beating Montenegro over the weekend to leave the Three Lions three points ahead of them, and that's where England play their final group game.

A victory for England would be their first at Wembley in over a year, although that is only four games, it is still a run that needs addressing, and I fully expect them to do it against the hapless Welsh.

I don't normally get involved in such short prices, but the 1/7 on England is unbelievable value really, Wales are a poor side who've been made significantly weaker by the loss of Craig Bellamy, who with Gareth Bale (16/1) are probably the only players that would command places in the England squad.

That unfortunately is Speed's problem, they just don't have the same quality in reserve for when key players get injured. Just look at Frank Lampard (6/1) for example - he's a player that would be welcome at every top team in Europe having performed consistently in the Premier League for 10 years or more, but for the foreseeable future he's just going to be a back-up player at international level.

Peter Crouch has an outstanding strike rate for England, but has never been considered first choice under Capello, often he gets overlooked completely, he'd walk into the Wales team though and I think we'll see the gulf in class on Tuesday night.

There are so many tempting prices for this match; 11/10 on England -2 goals looks a guarantee to me, over 3.5 goals at 5/4 is surely a steal and probably the best bet is the 9/5 available on England to score four or more goals.

I really think England will hammer Wales, and it could be good night early in the game.

We have a great Match Winner offer for England to score in the first 10 minutes of the match at odds of 4/1, we've enhanced this a whole tick from 3/1 and it's one that is definitely worth piling in to.

In the Millennium Stadium, England came out of the traps firing with an early goal, and they were home and hosed on Friday night by half-time, even without the highest scoring Englishman in the Premier League last season, Darren Bent in the squad.

Bent, along with Leighton Baines and Micah Richards will be missing for the hosts, but Capello has resisted the urge to call up replacements.

Wales are without the aforementioned Bellamy, along with David Vaughan, Sam Ricketts and Neal Eardley; James Collins returns to shore up the defence and Jack Collison (33/1) will provide another option in midfield.

Steve Morison (14/1) bagged Wales' opener against Montenegro, and he's likely to have Robert Earnshaw (14/1) alongside him in Bellamy's absence; but I wouldn't expect either of them to have a sniff.

It will be long night for Wayne Hennessey in the Wales goal, scores of 4-0 (13/2) and 5-0 (14/1) are certainly not out of the question, it's just a case of who will get them.

Wayne Rooney (5/2) has been on fire and the first goal wincast price of 11/4 is very tempting.

He's developed a fantastic relationship with Ashley Young, and the Manchester United flyer could be worth a few quid at 6/1 for the opener, it's 2/1 that he pounces at anytime in an England win.

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