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Nic Ladds 8th May 2010 - 14:34

Nothing but pride at stake at Turf Moor

Just a few weeks ago, this final match of the season looks like it could have decided the short-term futures of both clubs. Burnley were still thick in a relegation battle and Tottenham were embroiled in a fight for fourth place.

Since then, the picture has become a lot clearer as Burnley's relegation has been confirmed and Tottenham have managed to secure a historic fourth placed finish.

Although this match means nothing now, both sides will still want to get three points. Burnley will want to go out with a bang in front of their home support and go in to a summer of rebuilding for The Championship on the back of a win.

Spurs still have aspirations of finishing third, they are just two points behind Arsenal and if results go their way, what a massive result it would be for them to finish in third place. Even if Arsenal win, they will want to prove they belong in such a lofty position.

Burnley (6/1) might not be a bad price, with the pressure off their players could up their game and they have proven they can put on a performance at home having already picked up wins over Man Utd, Sunderland and Everton at Turf Moor this season.

It is hard to see anything other than a Tottenham (4/9) victory realistically though. Burnley have lost a massive 24 matches out of 37 so far this season, almost a league worst. Spurs smashed the Clarets 5-0 (40/1 here) at White Hart Lane earlier in the season, and it could easily be a big win today too.

Just two wins in 26 matches have left Burnley in a real mess; they concede far too many goals, 80 in 37 matches. With 19 different players scoring for Spurs this season, Burnley could have big problems keeping the scoreline respectable.

The only hope Burnley have is hoping Harry Redknapp rests some players and gives some fringe players a chance. Even so, I think Spurs -1 goal at 5/4 is a cracking bet. For the more adventurous, -2 is easily achievable at 16/5.

Burnley will hope long term absentees Chris McCann and Clarke Carlisle will return to help the cause. Other than that, Burnley don't have many major injury worries.

There are reports there could be major changes in the Spurs side, Sebastien Bassong, Eidur Gudjohnsen and Jermaine Jenas are set to play, and Ben Alnwick could start in goal in place of Heurelho Gomes.

If Jermain Defoe starts, he has to be best bet to score first (5/2), he has 18 league and 24 total goals this season.

As an outside bet, I would have a go on Jermaine Jenas to score first and any time (10/1 and 7/2). Although he may not have scored many this season, with the pressure off, he could easily bag a goal in a match his team should dominate.

I think Spurs will win to nil (7/5), as long as the squad they put out is not too inexperienced. 3-0 and 4-0 are 9/1 and 18/1 respectively. I recommend checking the team news if possible, if they are a shock, the whole market could change.

 

 
 
 

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