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Nic Ladds 21st Dec 2009 - 10:16

N'Zogbia the man to warm Wigan's winter

Two teams with atrocious defensive records meet in the Monday night Premier League game as 11/10 Wigan take on 13/5 Bolton.

Wanderers have kept one clean sheet away from home in their last 20 matches and none in their last 18 Premier League games while Wigan have let in 38 goals in 17 games (although nine of those were against Tottenham) but if you consider last season they let in 45 altogether this looks poor.

These two could well cancel each other out in a real battle of whose defence will hold up the longest and the draw at 9/4 carries some appeal and score of 0-0 at 9/1 and 1-1 at 9/2 are worth looking at.

Gary Megson's side have shown some improvement recently in their home games, beating West Ham and drawing with Man City but their away form is still a cause for concern as they have not won on foreign turf since the end of September and may find the JJB a tough assignment.

Roberto Martinez has seen his side lose just one of their last six home games and will expect nothing less than victory on Monday night, a cause that could be helped if Hugo Rodallega scores as they have won every game that he has found the net and he is 9/2 to score first or 6/5 for anytime.

Charles N'Zogbia has found the net a couple of times recently and is 12/1 for first goal and 5/1 for anytime and Jordi Gomez who found the net against Birmingham is 15/2 for first goal.

For the Trotters, Ivan Klasnic has been firing them in recently but the question remains whether Bolton can score them quicker than they concede? Either way he is 15/2 along with Kevin Davies to get the away side off to a flyer and in fairness to Bolton, they've scored six in their last two and defender Gary Cahill has scored in both those games so looks a fair bet at 8/1 to get on the score sheet anytime.

Fans of the stats will be interested to know that the in the last three Premier League games between these two, there has been just two goals so a 1-0 to Wigan at 11/2 or 1-0 Bolton at 15/2 will tempt some but it is hard to see the away side keeping a clean sheet so 2-1 Wigan at 13/2 and 2-1 Bolton at 9/1 could be worth a look.

Backing either side to keep a clean sheet (Wigan 6/4, Bolton 5/2) looks a risky prospect and a better option could be both sides to score at 8/11 as both have leaky looking defences.

Until their last home game against Birmingham, Wigan had conceded very few at home and have faced better strike forces than the Bolton one on offer today and a home win by a small margin is fancied with 2-1 at 13/2 looking the call while first goal punters could do a lot worse than the in-form N'Zogbia to score first at 12/1.

Both these sides would take a massive Christmas boost from victory in this game and with Portsmouth winning and West Ham getting exactly the gifts they asked for - points out of tough games and whoever loses be left out in the cold with nothing as their rivals all get exactly what they asked for.

Charles N'Zogbia to score first - 12/1


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