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P.J. Murray 26th Dec 2011 - 22:05

QPR will take no liberties against Swansea

On Boxing Day last year a QPR side trying to get out of a slump took to the pitch against Swansea at Loftus Road and produced a stunning display to romp the game 4-0.

Fast forward 366 days and again a QPR side who have hit another slump are looking to get a vital win against Swansea. However, this time around they are travelling to Wales and are facing one of the tightest home defence's in the league.

Their recent run saw them lose twice at home, 2-0 to Man Utd and 3-2 to Sunderland while the Swans have won only one of their last seven Premier League games, although all four of their wins have come at home.

Neil Warnock has stated that he needs to bolster his squad in the transfer window and based on recent performances this seems to be the right idea. But the former Sheffield United manager may be torn between selling his talisman, Adel Taarabt, despite insisting he is willing to let him go. Taarabt was benched after a series of poor performances, but recently the Moroccan has hit a vein of form which has shown flashes of brilliance which helped QPR win the Championship last season and he will be expected to start at the Liberty's.

Surprisingly, it has been Heidar Helguson who has been the target man for QPR, the Icelandic international is 15/2 to score first and 9/4 to score anytime. He bagged a goal last week in that agonizing loss to Sunderland along with Jamie Mackie (11/1 first and 4/1 anytime).

Swansea have been looking to Scott Sinclair for their goals and of his four strikes this season three of them have been the first goal in a game. He is 5/1 to open the scoring here and 5/4 anytime scorer. Danny Graham is the clubs best scorer with five goals so far this season, he is backable at 5/1 first and 5/4 anytime goalscorer.

Swansea have the best defensive record in the top flight on home soil, conceding just two goals at the Liberty Stadium so far, Brendan Rodgers side are 13/10 to just keep a clean sheet. QPR have scored quite a few on their travels, more than at Loftus Road and despite the losses they seem to be finding their form. Both teams to score at 10/11 could be worth dabbling on.

No surprise though that the home side are 21/20 favourites for the match. They have won four times at home and have had some morale boosting draws, so they will not fear the visitors. At 11/4 QPR are not favoured to win, but the Londoners best performances come away from home. They beat Stoke at the Britannia, Wolves at Molineaux and Everton at Goodison. However, the draw at 9/4 seems quite tempting when you consider this is likely to be a low scoring game. Double chance of QPR and Draw at 3/4 is another bet I like here, I think QPR are going to be more comfortable against a familiar opponent in Swansea and this is a fixture they will believe is winnable.


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