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Nic Ladds 2nd May 2009 - 21:31

Salvation for Newcastle won't come at Anfield

Liverpool still believe they can win the title and Newcastle believe they can avoid relegation and you can be sure Alan Shearer would take a draw at odds of 4/1.

Rafa Benitez's side are predictably short at 2/7 in the betting and the once great Newcastle can be backed at a whopping 10/1.

While Shearer has targeted the home games as where they'll find salvation, anything out of this will do and Newcastle are likely to be set out accordingly.

The Toon Army have become the draw specialists with 13 altogether and they are without a win in nine games which has set alarm bells ringing a long time ago at St James' Park.

A 1-1 draw or even 0-0 would be a fantastic result for them and they can be backed at 12/1 and 8/1 respectively.

The odds suggest a goal glut on Liverpool's part is expected demonstrated by 2-0 being as short as 5/1 and 3-0 at 6/1 but the Toon defence are capable of not conceding a deluge of goals.

Should they win it will not be by more than the odd goal which could make 1-0 at 11/1 or 2-1 at odds of 25/1 appealing for the optimists.

The Liverpool/Liverpool double result is by far the favourite at 8/11 in the betting with draw/draw at 15/2, draw/Liverpool 10/3 or for the away side to spring a shock perhaps draw/Newcastle at 18/1 in the betting could be up your street.

So where can the goals come from for Newcastle? Andy Carroll has been the only player to score in four games and he is likely to make an appearance off the bench which could interest punters to go for the 11/2 about him to score anytime.

Obafemi Martins is a threat with his searing pace but he is playing through an injury but nevertheless could be their main hope at 9/1 to score first.

Now would be a great time for Michael Owen to find his scoring boots again and while the talent undoubtedly remains, he his lacking in service and confidence and is 8/1 to bag the first goal or 11/4 to get on the score sheet.

Liverpool's threats are well known with Fernando Torres undoubtedly ready to terrorise the Newcastle defence and 5/2 about him opening the scoring looks fair.

Steven Gerrard also returns having missed the last four games and the captain is 7/2 to score first with Dirk Kuyt at 9/2, and the Dutchman will be brimming with confidence after his brace last time and he could be the man to break the deadlock.

For those that do think it will be a humiliating defeat for Newcastle the 'to score 2 or more' market could be of interest with Torres at 4/1, Gerrard 6/1 and Kuyt 7/1 to repeat last week's heroics.

While it is likely Newcastle will be set out looking for a point there may come a point where they feel attack is the best form of defence which could reap rewards for them but also leave them exposed at the back.

Let's not forget Liverpool have put four past Arsenal, Chelsea and Manchester United so putting Newcastle away may be facile for them

As a result over two match goals at 4/6 may be a banker for many, with under 2 match goals available at odds of 11/4.

The Toon Army are going to have to buck the trend if they are to get anything out of this game as they have only taken two points out of a possible 42 at Anfield, and having not won there in 14 visits.

While they should be capable of avoiding a battering, it is hard to see past anything but a Liverpool win.

While the match betting may be a little short for some there are plenty of options, perhaps the handicap with Liverpool giving up 2 goals at odds of 11/5 appeals, with Newcastle 5/6 in receipt of 2 goals.

While Newcastle's need to win is obvious, it is unlikely they will find salvation at Anfield and they may have to wait until their crucial home clash with Middlesbrough before any real hopes of survival emerge.

Recommendation:
Dirk Kuyt to score first - 9/2
Liverpool -2 goals - 11/5

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