Saturday's La Liga previews
Walter Pandiani failed to hit the back of the net, but a Gerard Pique own goal gave me the result I wanted in last weekend's Osasuna vs Barcelona match.
Visitors Mallorca (11/1) have had some great results recently, but they've mostly been at home and I don't therefore expect their form to continue into the Nou Camp. At 1/7 there is little value in backing Barca, so I will instead look to the double result market and hope Mallorca can keep Barcelona at bay for 45 minutess. Draw/Barcelona is priced at 3/1.
Consider the jetlag and tiredness that Barcelona will have accumulated from their midweek trip to Russia and this bet becomes more attractive.
If you like to bet on correct score, 2-0, 2-1 and 3-1 to Barca sound plausible and are priced at 5/1, 8/1 and 9/1 respectively.
In the goalscorers market, Zlatan Ibrahimovic is 11/4 to score first, with Lionel Messi at 7/2 and the returning Thierry Henry further out at 9/2. For Mallorca, top scorer Aritz Aduriz and his strike partner Pierre Webo are both priced at 12/1 for the first goal and 5/1 as anytime scorers.
Worth a punt: Draw/Barcelona (3/1)
Manuel Pellegrini received a temporary stay of execution with Real's 2-0 win over Getafe and this weekend he will be expected to collect another 3 points, this time against cross city rivals Atletico (21/10).
Last season an early goal from Ruud Van Nistlerooy forced Atletico to chase the game and when they finally drew level in the 90th minute, heartbreak followed as Real were awarded a penalty and Higuain duly converted.
A repeat of that 2-1 scoreline is available at 7/1, and as he scored a brace against Getafe, Gonzalo Higuain is surely worth a look at 11/2 as first scorer. The two can be combined in a scorecast at 25/1.
This is a game Real Madrid (19/20) generally win, but Atletico are going to get an unexpected result sooner or later and with defensive frailty being the standout factor in this game, I'm not convinced Los Blanco's will get all three points this time.
Two bad defence's should equate into plenty of goals (over 2 goals is 8/15) and after his midweek double against Chelsea and habit of scoring against big teams, Sergio "Kun" Aguero must deserve punters attention with a price of 15/2 as first scorer or 9/4 anytime.
I thought Atletico were unlucky not to get at least a point from Bilbao and the amount of times they hit the woodwork or came agonisingly close is testament to that. This time I think they will get something and although double chance is the bet I would like to suggest, the price of 31/50 puts me off and I'm instead leaning towards a draw at 12/5.
I must however point out that I fancied Barca to draw last week more than I fancy this to be a draw, so go easy stake wise.
Recommendation: Over 2 goals (8/15)
Worth a punt: Draw (12/5)
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