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P.J. Murray 10th Oct 2011 - 15:23

Scotland and Ireland on the brink of Euro success

Tuesday night is for D-Day for the only two remaining home nations that can feasibly make Euro 2012. Ireland face a winner take all clash with Armenia in Dublin while Craig Levein takes Scotland to try and beat the current European and World Champions and unbeaten Spain.

Scotland v Spain

Can you remember when Spain last lost a competitive match, no, me neither. Yet Craig Levein is sure that his side can topple the World's Number One side. Unsurprisingly Scotland are long odds underdogs at 16/1 while Spain are 1/5 shots.

Spain are comfortably through to the finals, but they will want to get there with a 100% record which is why I can't see them doing Scotland any favours.

Scotland have a tradition of scoring amazing goals, Irvine Welsh used one in his brilliant Trainspotting, Archie Gemmill vs the Dutch. And in 2008 James McFadden shocked the French when he smashed one in from outside the box. Can Charlie Adam and co do something similar, we are offering an enhanced match winner that Scotland score a goal from outside the penalty area at 10/1, originally 8/1.

Scotland need only match the Czech Republic's result to make the play-offs, but with the Czechs going Lithuania you imagine they need to win.

Fernando Torres looks set to start against the Scots, this could be a blessing in disguise as the Chelsea player just can't really seem to perform. He is 4/7 to score anytime, despite the fact he has failed to score in over 12 months for Spain.

If trying to become the first side to beat Spain in several years wasn't hard enough then the fact that Kenny Miller and Craig Mackail-Smith are both doubts really add to the tast. David Goodwillie could be given then nod as a result and at 16/1 he could be a good bet for first goalscorer.

Scotland are going to look to keep things tight and stop Spain's free flowing football and at 13/10 with a two goal start they could be value.

Ireland v Armenia

Armenia (4/1) are the shock packages of Group B, they started their campaign with a 1-0 defeat to Ireland (4/6, draw 5/2). However that was a ground out win for Giovanni Trappatoni's side who needed Keith Fahey to come off the bench and hit the winner on 76 minutes.

Armenia have scored 11 goals in their last three games and have only conceded 1 goal in that time, they come up against an Ireland side who in contrast have only scored 2 goals in their last three without conceding.

They have also lost their talismanic striker Robbie Keane and rather than put in the on-form Shane Long, Trap has opted for Long's teammate Simon Cox. The West Brom sub has made less Premier League appearances this season than Leon Best has scored goals, but he has been handed a starting berth. He is 6/1 to score first and 7/4 to score anytime.

Gevorg Ghazarian, an Armenian attacking midfielder, is the key man for the visitors. Not only does the play flow through him, but he has scored five goals in this qualifying campaign. He is 11/1 to score first and 4/1 to get his sixth goal of the campaign.

Ireland need only draw, they will have the heroic Richard Dunne back, so the Armenians will find it difficult to breach the Irish defence, despite their out and out attacking play. A single goal for either side could decide this match, under 1.5 goals at 2/1 looks to be a good bet.


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