Spanish La Liga betting previews
Saturday's and Sunday's Spanish La Liga betting preview
Saturday, 18 December 2010
Two superb strikes from Pablo Piatti - one a stunning long range effort, the other a clever back heel - sealed a 3-1 win for Almeria against Sevilla in the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan last weekend.
Stunning, but not totally unexpected, stuff from Almeria (6/4), who will again look towards Piatti (11/2 to score first, 6/4 anytime) to continue recent improvements by beating a Getafe side that has made vast improvements their selves in recent games.
In fact, Michel's Getafe (15/8) have now won three league games in a row, beating Villarreal 1-0 at the Alfonso Perez in the most recent of them.
On the scoresheet for the Azulones last weekend was Uruguayan winger Juan Albin, who bagged his first of the season. Sadly he will miss this afternoon's game after being given a second yellow card when celebrating his goal!
Considering that they had ten men after Argentine defender Cata Diaz was sent off for fouling Villarreal's Nilmar, Getafe did exceptionally well to win the game and fully deserved to do so with some excellent play.
Getafe's current will to win against Almeria's home advantage makes this match a hard pick so I'm going down the middle and will take a chance on a draw.
Worth a punt: Draw (11/5)
A wonderful second half performance allowed Camacho's boys to come back from 3-1 down to draw 3-3 away to Valencia last Monday night. Though Osasuna (evens) are still winless on the road, such a performance can only build confidence and Osasuna are already confident on home turf.
Being bottom of the table, today's visitors to Pamplona, Zaragoza (14/5), have little confidence but with experienced former Atletico manager Javier Aguirre being at the helm for a few weeks, will expect to start climbing the table soon.
With a notoriously tight board, Aguirre will struggle to make notable reinforcements during the Christmas window so sooner may become later or, worryingly for them, never.
Whatever the case may turn out to be tonight is, in my opinion, too soon for an upturn in fortunes as Osasuna have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 1 at home. Playing the bottom team, I'd fully expect Camacho to make it 5 home wins by 17:45 UK time on Sunday.
Possible goalscorers for Osasuna are Walter Pandiani (4/1 to score first, 11/10 anytime) and Juanfran (7/1 to score first, 15/8 anytime), the latter of which scored against Valencia.
Scoring for Zaragoza for the second game in a row was Gabi, who netted a penalty in his club's 3-1 home defeat to Real Madrid last weekend.
Finalising the scoring talk, I's say "No" (4/5) in the both teams to score market and under 2.5 goals (13/20) in the game. Correct scores to consider at 1-0 and 2-0 to Osasuna- priced at 11/2 and 8/1 respectively.
Recommendation: Osasuna (evens)
A good showing, coupled with a Sebastian Fernandez (8/1 to score first, 11/4 anytime) goal, gave Malaga surprising first half lead in their away match with Hercules last weekend.
Sadly for The Anchovies, Hercules produced a stunning second half performance to win the game 4-1. Depressing stuff indeed for Malaga (21/10) coach Pellegrini, but today he is back at La Rosaleda and Malaga are playing Atletico Madrid.
Atletico (6/5) did beat Deportivo 2-0 last weekend through a Kun Aguero (11/2 to score first, 6/4 anytime) brace, but it was a home game and prior to that Los Colchoneros had lost two league games in a row.
Since then, Quique's boys have been eliminated from the Europa league after drawing 1-1 with Bayer Leverkusen on a cold, strength zapping evening in Germany.
Such conditions will take their toll on under confident, underperforming players such as Diego Forlan (11/2 to score first, 6/4 anytime) and Reyes (10/1 to score first, 7/2 anytime), so Malaga look good value to beat Atletico tonight.
Malaga tend to take first half leads at La Rosaleda, so maybe the double result bet of Malaga/Malaga is worth a punt at the generous price of 9/2.
In the both teams to score market, Atleti have failed to score away from home in league games recently so the "No" (5/4) option represents the sensible pick. However, I wouldn't rule out an in-form Kun Aguero scoring so it's a dicey market to be on.
Recommendation: Malaga (21/10)
Worth a punt: Double result of Malaga/Malaga (9/2)
The sort of tie in which Sevilla are going to get absolutely hammered, or provide a massive shock and deal Jose Mourinho his first home defeat as Real Madrid (1/5) manager.
Personally, I'll go with the former as, despite Sevilla's battling 2-2 home draw with Borussia Dortmund in the Europa league on Thursday evening, they are in terrible form defensively having lost their last four La Liga matches.
The Rojiblancos also look weak going forward with Fabiano (8/1 to score first, 11/4 anytime) yet to rediscover his consistent goalscoring form after returning from injury and winger Navas still not fit enough tom play.
The form of Kanoute (10/1 to score first, 7/2 anytime) has, however, been a positive for Sevilla manager Manzano as the Malian forward has scored in each of his last two games - the draw with Dortmund and defeat to Almeria.
Age catches up with everyone though and despite the fact that Kanoute was taken off after 40 minutes of the Dortmund game, two games in four day is a big ask for an injury prone 33 year old.
Beating Zaragoza last weekend was certainly not a big ask for Jose's Los Blancos: Goals from Ozil, Di Maria ( both 5/1 to score first, 5/4 anytime) and Ronaldo (2/1 to score first, 2/5 anytime) gave Real an easy win.
Ronaldo's goal was a stunning, powerfully hit free kick and while the other goals were also good efforts, you can't help but sit back and applaud Ronaldo. He's one of the best players the game has ever seen and I expect him to score pretty much every time he gets sight of goal.
Ronaldo should get his chances against Sevilla tonight and despite the short prices, wincast (11/5) and anytime wincasts (1/2) involving the Portuguese must be given serious consideration if you want to bet on Real Madrid.
In other markets: Though it's a likely winner, the double result of Real Madrid/Real Madrid is way too short at 8/15 and, unlike last season, deciding on the both teams to score market is difficult as Sevilla (11/1) can no longer be considered bankers to score in every game.
Nothing is certain, but if Ronaldo is at his best, we should be able to get away with Real - 2 goals (13/10) on the handicap market.
Sunday double recommendation: Osasuna (evens) and Malaga (21/10)
Monday, 20 December 2010
Well, well, well, Racing have won a game away from home! Great news for Oscar Serrano (10/1 to score first, 11/4 anytime) who returned from a lengthy injury layoff to net the late winner, but what a shocker beating Mallorca on the Island.
Racing (19/20) should, in theory, have no problems beating a Hercules team that has won 1, draw 2 and lost 4 games on their travels. However, David Trezeguet (13/2 to score first, 7/4 anytime) could have something to say about that.
Trezeguet's lovely back heel in Hercules 4-1 hammering of Malaga spoke volumes about his talent, but he is still yet to score away from Alicante in the league. Maybe today's his day but, until it is, I won't be backing him.
Racing's Rosenberg (9/2 to score first, 5/4 anytime) might, however, be worth backing as the on- loan Werder Bremen owned striker has impressed with 5 goals in 12 La Liga games.
Whoever scores, I'd expect under 2.5 goals (8/13) to be the winning choice in the over/under markets and "No" (8/11) in the both teams to score market. Both seem like sensible options when you consider that Hercules (16/5) had only one shot on target during their last away game - a 1-0 defeat to Deportivo.
I fully expect a Racing to win this game as they are the home team and suggest a correct score punt of 1-0 to the home team (11/2).
Recommendation: Racing (19/20)
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