Spanish La Liga Primera preview
Getafe v Malaga, 19:00
This should be a simple home win, though Malaga do have the advantage of an extra days rest over the Madrid side, and notably scored five goals in their last away game.
Malaga (10/3) probably won't score five goals in a game again for some time, certainly not today. But they have won at the Alfonso Perez before - a 2-1 win two years ago.
A 2-1 loss was, however, the result for The Anchovies in their Sunday night Andalusian derby with Sevilla; I recommended a Malaga win and was very displeased with their poor defending.
A ray of light for Jesualdo Ferreira's charges came via the opening goal in that game, scored by young Venezuelan Rondon (8/1 to score first, 11/4 anytime). I won't be backing him tonight, but there is obviously merit to doing so should you disagree.
What nobody can disagree with is that Malaga badly miss the injured Sergio Duda; an expert free kick taker with a cultured left foot. Fellow Portuguese, Eliseu (14/1 to score first, 11/2 anytime), is not as much of a threat as his countryman in front of goal but has tremendous speed and is a decent crosser of the ball.
Getafe (4/5) also have a decent crosser of the ball in Gavilan - who scored twice in Getafe's last home game, the 4-1 defeat of Levante.
In better goalscoring form is Arizmendi (15/2) to score first, 9/4 anytime), a player who has scored in each of his last two league games; including Getafe's valiant Monday night 2-2 away draw with Deportivo.
Arizmendi also managed to score an own goal in Getafe's Europa league defeat of Odense, but made up for that by scoring in the right goal later in the game.
In the 90 minute market, I'm 60% tempted to go with the obvious pick of Getafe and 40% tempted to go for the upset Malaga win. I honestly can't decide what to go with!
Worth a punt: Arizmendi e/w first scorer (15/2)
Villarreal v Deportivo La Coruna, 19:00
The Yellow Submarines beat Levante 2-1 at the weekend, with Nilmar (4/1 to score first, evens anytime) scoring both goals; one of which was sublime chip over the powerless Levante keeper.
Skilful play indeed from the Brazilian forward - who will be upgraded into my worth a punt pick at the bottom of this article as a consequence.
Draw kings Deportivo (4/1) lived up to their reputation by drawing 2-2 with Getafe on Monday night, a result that gave me 6/9 on recommendations in week 3 games - though my 0-0 worth a punt bet was way off the mark!
Mexican wide man Guardado's brace of penalties got him and Depor off the mark in the goal column and should you fancy him to score again tonight, he is 12/1 to get the first or 5/1 to score at anytime.
In terms of the 90 minute market; a draw (11/4) cannot be totally ruled out with Depor in town, but you have to fancy Villarreal (4/6) to come out on top given their great home form last season - coupled with the 4-0 defeat of Espanyol at El Madrigal a week and a half ago.
I would not expect many goals in this game (under 2.5 is 8/11) and anyone agreeing with my overall assessment might also want to consider the match x goals bet of Villarreal win and under 2.5 goals (12/5).
Recommendation: Villarreal (4/6)
Worth a punt: Nilmar - first scorer (4/1)
Sevilla v Racing Santander, 21:00-Sky Video
Given that they could only draw at home with Depor in the league and lost to PSG in Europe a few days later, I genuinely expected a depleted, misfiring Sevilla squad to squad to lose in Malaga last Sunday evening.
Unfortunately, I was wrong as, after going a goal down, Sevilla ran out 2-1 winners with backup winger/striker Alfaro (6/1 to score first, 7/4 anytime) and defender Caceres (20/1 to score first, 7/1 anytime) the scorers.
Scoring for Racing in their 2-0 home win over Zaragoza were defender Henrique (33/1 to score first, 12/1 anytime) and forward Nahuelpan (8/1 to score first, 11/4 anytime). After defeats to Barcelona and Valencia, this was the Santander based clubs first win of the season.
Most followers of La Liga would expect Sevilla (1/2) to get their second Primera Liga win a row tonight, and logic suggests they will. However, I'm not interested in the 1/2 price on the Rojiblancos and am prepared to take a small stake longshot punt on an upset given the 6/1 price on Racing.
I could easily be very wrong with this (Sevilla half/full time is 5/4 if you disagree) so choose carefully.
Worth a punt: Racing (6/1)
Enjoy the action and don't forget that you can bet in-play with William Hill Online.