Sunday's Round Five La Liga Betting Previews
Real Betis v Granada, 11:00
With Molina (4/1 to score first, EVS anytime) opening the scoring, Real Betis (3/4) easily put Valencia to the sword in a 3-1 win at the Benito Villamarin last weekend. Salva Sevilla (7/1 to score first, 2/1 anytime), who could and should have had a hat-trick, netted the other two goals for Pepe Mel's side.
Granada (7/2), somewhat unluckily, lost 1-0 at home to Espanyol in round four. Lucas Alcaraz, the current Granada coach, was very unhappy after the referee incorrectly adjudged his side to have made the backpass that led to Espanyol scoring the winning goal from a free-kick.
In conclusion, despite the fact that Granada have only scored three goals in four games, Betis will play Lyon in the UEFA Champions midweek and have conceded and scored in both of their home league games in 2013/14, making BTTS a decent option against a Granada side that has won 2-1 here in each of the last two seasons.
Worth a punt: Both teams to score (8/11)
Celta Vigo v Villarreal, 16:00
Charles (6/1 to score first, 7/4 anytime) has the honour of being the first player to score in Athletic Bilbao's new San Mames stadium but, despite Mina's late goal, his Celta Vigo (17/10) side eventually lost 3-2.
Villarreal (8/5) couldn't quite beat Real Madrid as recommended in my 5/1 worth a punt attempt, but Giovani (6/1 to score first, 7/4 anytime) did score in the Yellow Submarines 2-2 draw with Real Madrid at El Madrigal last weekend, giving us all a 10/3 winner.
In conclusion, Villarreal - currently undefeated in La Liga - look like the better team compared to Celta Vigo, but both teams have scored in every league game Celta have played this season and I'd be stunned if Villarreal don't find the back of the net in Vigo.
Recommendation: Both teams to score (7/10)
Real Madrid v Getafe, 18:00, live on Sky Sports 1
In a tremendously entertaining game, Carlo Ancelotti's Real Madrid drew 2-2 away to Villarreal last Saturday. Indeed, with Villarreal spurning a plethora of chances, including missing an open goal, Los Blancos should have lost.
Real Madrid (1/9) cruised to a surprising 6-1 victory away to Galatasaray in the UEFA Champions League midweek, but had Gala taken their early chances and not played so openly, we wouldn't have seen such a high scoring win for Real.
Getafe (16/1) went a goal behind at home to Osasuna last weekend, but recovered to win 2-1 with Miku (16/1 to score first, 6/1 anytime) scoring a brace. It was the Azulones first win of the season.
In conclusion, Real Madrid should easily beat Getafe, but after a midweek European game last season, it was 0-0 at half time when these two met at the Bernabeu, with Real eventually winning 4-0.
Therefore, with the above in mind, I'm going for over 3.5 match goals rather than over 1.5 first half.
Recommendation: Over 3.5 goals (7/10)
Valencia v Sevilla, 20:00 - live on Sky Sports 1
In a pathetically bad performance from Djukic's boys, Valencia (4/5) lost 3-1 away to Betis in round four, with defender Ricardo Costa scoring their consolation goal. For sure, Valencia are a terrible road team right now and I'll be opposing them as much as possible, but on home soil they've not been as bad, only losing 3-2 to Barca and defeating Malaga 1-0.
Sevilla (19/5) have, besides being very, very unlucky to lose 3-2 to Barca at Camp Nou last weekend, also proved to be a poor road team - including last season - but Valencia are in much worse form and I wouldn't be surprised if they lost to Sevilla.
In conclusion, both teams will play in the Europa League midweek and that could make for a dire game given the tiredness of both sides, but I think it's worth taking a punt on Sevilla draw no bet, along with a smaller bet on Gameiro (7/1 to score first, 2/1 anytime) to score at anytime.
Worth a punt: Sevilla draw no bet (9/4)
Worth a small punt: Gameiro anytime scorer (2/1)