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Jonathan Cordingley 5th Feb 2011 - 22:15

Sunday's Spanish La Liga Previews

Sevilla v Malaga, 16:00

Coming from two down to lead 3-2 in the Riazor, Sevilla (4/7) allowed Deportivo to equalise late on and squandered what would have been an amazing comeback.

Sevilla came back from the dead mainly because of two excellent goals from striker Negredo (7/2 to score first, 10/11 anytime).

Sevilla again proved that no matter how badly they play, they can usually get back into a game by punting a long ball up to Negredo, Fabiano (3/1 to score first, 8/11 anytime) or Kanoute (7/2 to score first, 10/11 anytime).

A trio of excellent strikers no doubt, but The Rojiblancos frontline could not make a dent in Real Madrid's defence during their midweek Copa del Rey semi final, and will now have to concentrate on securing European qualification through the league.

Though their owner probably has loftier ambitions for this season's campaign, Malaga (9/2) must simply concentrate on avoiding relegation. Losing 2-1 at home to Zaragoza does not help, but Malaga looked excellent in their 4-3 defeat away to Valencia in the game before that and I for one would back The Anchovies to avoid relegation.

It will obviously take time for Malaga to gel as a team with so many new signings but, while we wait for this to happen, Baptista (9/1 to score first, 10/3 anytime), Rondon (15/2 to score first, 9/4 anytime) and Duda can produce individual moments of brilliance in front of goal and I'm looking for one of them to do so today.

For his set piece prowess, Duda (12/1 to score first, 5/1 anytime) is my pick to score for Malaga, but I certainly don't see Sevilla drawing a blank in this Andalusian derby so "Yes" in the both teams to score market should be a safe, if not short priced bet at 13/20. As should over 2.5 match goals (8/15).

On paper, Sevilla should easily win today, but Malaga are just the kind of stupid team who will lose to a lesser team at home, then beat a better one away. Time to take a chance I think.

Recommendation: Malaga (9/2)

Worth a punt: Duda e/w first scorer (12/1)


Real Madrid v Real Sociedad, 18:00-Sky Sports 1

Though not impressively, Jose's Real Madrid (1/6) beat Sevilla 2-0 in their midweek Copa del Rey semi final. Scoring a goal apiece were Ozil (5/1 to score first, 5/4 anytime) and substitute Adebayor (11/4 to score first, 8/13 anytime).

Los Blancos 3-0 aggregate victory means that they will face Barcelona in a Classico cup final. That won't be until April though, and tonight they must concentrate on beating Real Sociedad.

Playing under treacherous conditions at San Sebastian last weekend, Sociedad (18/1) beat Almeria 2-0. Ansotegui scored the first and a player I'd totally forgot about, Raul Tamudo, added the second.

Injury prone and past his best, Tamudo (12/1 to score first, 5/1 anytime) has scored a few against Real in the past, including one earlier in the season.

I'd pick Tamudo to score above any other Sociedad player, but should you fancy an alternative, Prieto (16/1 to score first, 6/1 anytime) and Griezmann (also 16/1 to score first, 6/1 anytime) are the men to look at.

Often a winner, the double result of Draw/Real Madrid (19/5) should not apply tonight as Real should quickly put Sociedad to the sword. However, Real Madrid/Real Madrid is too short priced for my money at 2/5, so I'd rather chance my coin on one hopeful longshot.

Worth a punt: Tamudo, anytime scorer (5/1)


Valencia v Hercules, 20:00-Sky Sports 1

Continuing their recent trend of scoring in the final fifteen minutes, Valencia (4/9) rescued a point in their 1-1 draw away to Racing last Monday.

At home to a Hercules (6/1) side that hasn't scored away from home in seven games, Los Che will likely not need a late goal to gain points tonight.

Netting Valencia's goal in Santander was Tino Costa (9/1 to score first, 10/3 anytime). Looking to score tonight should they start are Aduriz and Soldado (each is 7/2 to score first or 10/11 anytime).

Unable to score away from Alicante and guilty of missing an easy chance in Hercules 3-0 home defeat to Barca last weekend is David Trezeguet (8/1 to score first, 11/4 anytime). Sooner or later former Juventus striker Trezeguet will surely score away from home, but I won't be betting on him today.

In conclusion, Hercules struggle against teams who have good wingers and able headers of the ball up front, so I think it's an easy win for Valencia.

Recommendations: Double result of Valencia/Valencia (11/10) and Valencia - 1 goal (6/5)


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