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Nic Ladds 17th Mar 2010 - 11:01

The Old Lady Craven a win in England

Despite holding a 3-1 lead over Fulham, Juventus are in for tough time at Craven Cottage as Roy Hodgson has turned it in to a European fortress.

Juventus have never travelled to England well; the last eight trips have ended in seven defeats and one draw.

If you consider the fact Fulham are unbeaten in 13 home European matches and they have the vital away goal, I think they are definitely in with a chance of progressing.

They are 7/5 to win the match in 90 minutes, which is a good price in itself but the 5/1 on them to qualify is certainly worth consideration.

If they can stop Juve from scoring, they only need a 2-0 (10/1) victory to progress. But don't forget the 'to qualify' price includes extra time and penalties if you want to play it safe.

Juventus (19/10) should never be ruled out though; they are having a decent season in Serie A. They sit fifth but are just one point off a Champions League spot. They had a disappointing draw at home to bottom club Siena at the weekend, but the match was 3-3 so it proves they can let them in as well as score.

Fulham will be missing Danny Murphy and Jonathan Greening for the tie. In-form Bobby Zamora should line up, as they need the goals so desperately you would expect them to attack from the off so the 11/2 first or 6/4 any time looks decent.

Damien Duff has nine goals this season from left wing; I reckon the 10/3 on him getting one at any time is a good price. He is yet to score in Europe for Fulham but there's no better time for him to start scoring.

Looking at Fulham's European past, they have scored the first goal in seven of their last eight ties so if you fancy a first scorer bet, Fulham have got to be favourites. They are 4/5 to be the team to get the first goal if you don't want to pick an individual.

Juve do have some problems when it comes to their goalkeeper as Gianluigi Buffon and ex-Arsenal man Alex Manninger will both miss out so they will have to hand a European debut to either Carlo Pinsoglio or Antonio Chimenti.

David Trezeguet bagged one in the first leg of this tie and is 11/2 to score first in this match. Alessandro Del Piero scored two in the 3-3 league match and he is 7/1 to score first.

All the Fulham players are confident going in to this match. In every interview since the first leg, Roy Hodgson and his players have all insisted they can do it and the game is there for them to win.

Obviously, on paper Juventus have the stronger, more experienced side with undoubted quality in the ranks. They should qualify but I do hold out some slight hope for the English side, they have beaten Liverpool and Manchester United at home this year and I see no reason why they can't cause an upset here.



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