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P.J. Murray 6th Oct 2011 - 18:55

Three Lions will roar to finals

One point, that's all that stands between England and Euro 2012.

Barring the biggest upset in World Football ever, England should make the finals comfortably, but the question is will they do it in style with a win over Montenegro?

All was going well for Capello until a small story broke about Wayne Rooney's father being arrested and suddenly the whole world wanted to know what mental state the Scouse striker was in. Referencing the World Cup, when Rooney had personal problems that affected his on-field performance, journalists were assured by a rather uncomfortable Capello that all was well with his prized player.

Nevertheless England (8/11) should beat their opponents. The Three Lions have only dropped points twice, once was against Montenegro when they were held 0-0 at Wembley almost a year to the day. A 0-0 this time wouldn't be the best result, but it would be enough to see them through to the finals.

Montenegro (4/1, draw 5/2) lost to Wales last time out, going down 2-1 in Cardiff, a result which ended their quest for top spot in Group G. But they will still have to compete with Switzerland for second place and a chance to make the play-offs.

England's goal difference of +12 is due in part to the fact that they have managed to keep a clean sheet in their last two qualifying games, backing the Three Lions to win to nil at 8/5 could reap a tidy profit they are also 17/20 just to keep a clean sheet.

England are not short of attacking options, Rooney, Young, Bent, Carroll, Zamora all could do damage to the Montenegrin  defence and we are offering a nicely enhanced Match Winner special that three or more England players score in the game at 5/1, bumped up from 4/1.

Wayne Rooney is 4/1to open the scoring, but possibly with the news his dad is behind bars it might be best to swerve him and opt for his United teammate Ashley Young. The midfielder has been a revelation at Man U and has shown a keen ability to find the goal and 7/1 first goalscorer seems to be a generous price.  Kyle Walker may feature, the wing back smashed in his first Spurs goal against Arsenal to help Harry record a solid win over their arch rivals and he is 8/1 to score anytime should be feature.

Dejan Damjanovic has been vocal in the press saying that England did not show his team enough respect when they met last year, if he wants to make a point and silence any critics then he could bag a goal. The FC Seoul striker is 8/1 to score first and 11/4 to score in the 90 minutes.

England may not have paid his team much respect in their first encounter, but Capello has his men focused on the task in hand and they will want to put up a big win, they are 2/1 to win minus one goal on the handicap. But 11/2 minus two goals looks quite generous.

This could easily be a goalfest, especially if England can get off to an early start and 23/20 for over 2.5 goals seems quite generous.

I think that there are several players who will want to give Capello something to think about when he puts together his squad for Euro 2012 and as such England should rout their opponents. I would be backing England to win also back the handicap and overs.



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