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Nic Ladds 25th Sep 2009 - 10:29

Toffees to taste another sweet victory

Played six, lost six is Portsmouth's current run of form and this is a different team to the one that beat Everton 2-1 last year and despite being at home the 3/1 on offer for a home win looks fair.

It was the now departed Peter Crouch who scored both goals in the corresponding fixture last year and as he, Jermain Defoe and Niko Kranjcar have all left for Tottenham, this Portsmouth side are a shadow of the side that beat the Toffees last year and David Moyes' side are 19/20 to exact revenge.

Barring Pompey's win in the Carling Cup last time where three of their new signings scored which gives them hope, they have been atrocious all season and have had the worst start ever by any team in the Premier League.

They've lost 10 of their last 12 league matches, have failed to score in nine of their last 12 and have lost the last three at Fratton Park while Frederic Picquionne and Aruna Dindane need to start scoring fast and are 7/1 and 8/1 respectively to open the scoring.

Midfield is where Pompey could find some inspiration with Jamie O'Hara and Kevin-Prince Boateng who look decent signings from Spurs, with set-piece specialist O'Hara in particular a goal threat from midfield and look a fair bet at 6/1 to score anytime.

After a shaky start Everton have surged back to form with three convincing win in a row including a 3-0 demolition of Blackburn in which Louis Saha scored two (5/1 to open the scoring), while Yakubu and Jo have both looked threatening (both 6/1 to score first).

Portsmouth will hope that Everton's poor Premier League away form continues though as the Toffees have lost away to Burnley and Fulham while Paul Hart would most likely settle for a draw which can be backed at 23/10.

It is hard to envisage Portsmouth scoring a plethora of goals and they may be able to scrape a 1-0 win at 15/2 or a 1-1 draw at 11/2 as Jonny Hetinga and Sylvain Distin should add some much needed steel to the away defence.

A score of 3-1 to the away side at 16/1 looks about right with 3-0 also 16/1 or the closer 2-1 7/1 as while Everton have looked a little suspect at the back their strike force with admirable support from Tim Cahill looks dangerous and easily capable of upsetting the fragile Pompey defence.

The stats suggest Everton on the half time betting could be the way to a profit as Portsmouth have conceded more first half goals than any other side and 13/8 about the visitors looks a fair bet, while a fun bet could be a penalty to be awarded and scored at 3/1 as the home side have already given three away this season.

The Carling Cup win may have boosted morale at Portsmouth and their new signings are sure to help but even though you think that their losing run can't continue, Everton have proved season after season how hard they are to beat and the poor start aside, this season looks no different.

Pompey will start to accumulate points soon enough but they may have to wait for next week's trip to Wolves rather than the visit of Everton to start what is already a fight against relegation.

Recommendation:

Everton to win 3-1 - 16/1

Everton to be winning at half time - 13/8

 
 
 

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