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Nic Ladds 1st Apr 2010 - 16:05

WBA can out Fox their opponents and Bag promotion

Both teams will want all three points more than usual in this match as should West Brom win, they will almost certainly secure their return to the Premier League and should Leicester pick up three points it would go a long way in cementing their play-off place.

West Brom are currently second and nine points clear of Forest in third. Their goal difference is far superior and barring a miracle they should go up.

Leicester are four points above Blackpool in the final play-off place, a surprise away win at the Hawthorns would make it very hard for any other side to break in to the play-offs.

West Brom (8/15) should be able to see off their opponents in this match, but they are beatable at home. They have lost four times and conceded 20 on home turf which is more than any side in the top seven.

Leicester (9/2) have surprised many people this season and a play-off place is more than most could have expected. They are without a win in their last four in which they have picked up just one point, Nigel Pearson has never gone five matches without a win.

Should they lose here and Blackpool win, a slender one point will be all that separates the two sides.

A major factor in West Brom's success this season is their impressive use of the transfer and loan markets. They picked up Jerome Thomas (10/3 anytime) on a free at the start of the season who has notched seven goals.

They have also brought in Gabriel Tamas, Ben Watson and Stephen Reid on short-term loans that have helped in that final push where some teams are tiring; they have fresh legs with Premier League experience.

Leicester's success has mainly come from consistency, their team not a million miles from the team that won League One last season. They haven't been setting the league alight and won big, but they have kept under the radar, grinding out wins and been well organised.

West Brom have relied on goals from midfield this season, three of their top four scorers are midfielders. Graham Dorrans (6/1 first) and Chris Brunt (8/1 first) lead with 11 league goals each. Their top striker is Roman Bednar with nine goals and he is 4/1 to score the first goal.

For Leicester, top scorer Matty Fryatt is still out with a broken jaw so on-loan strikers Martyn Waghorn (7/1 first) and James Vaughan (9/1) will pushing to start up front with Paul Gallagher (7/1).

In the reverse fixture at the Walkers Stadium in November Graham Dorrans free-kick helped The Baggies to a 2-1 win. I quite fancy a repeat of that scoreline here and at 7/1 it is a decent price.

Leicester are undoubtedly strong in this league and although I don't think they will go up, they deserve a play-off place for their work this season. West Brom have just a bit too much quality in this match and with the prospect of pulling clear in a promotion place, they will win, but it will not be easy.

 

 
 
 

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