Wigan great value for Hawthorns win
It's a relegation six-pointer at The Hawthorns on Tuesday night and Wigan Athletic certainly look a great value bet at 4/1 to get a much needed three points.
Although results have been poor for the Latics recently they were unlucky not to get at least a point when they hosted Aston Villa last week and the young team Roberto Martinez fielded in FA Cup action on Saturday away at local-rivals Bolton performed admirably to earn a replay.
Martinez has been under pressure lately at Wigan and there were even chants of "you don't know what you're doing" from sections of the home fans when he made some questionable late substitions during the Villa match. Despite this I feel he is finally stumbling across his best XI with James McCarthur forcing his way into the first team to partner fellow Scotsman James McCarthy.
McCarthur adds some much needed creation to the centre of the midfield and impressed when was in the starting eleven for Wigan's last win, the 3-2 success at Molineux in December. I am hopeful Martinez will opt for him in this game and I think the 25/1 for him to score first is definitely worth a small investment.
Martinez has been given more time than most to get things at right at Wigan, mainly due to his popularity with the fans from his time as a player and also his openness with the fans and his obvious commitment to the club. Dave Whelan stated earlier in the season that whatever happened this season he would be remaining at the club.
That statement could well be tested as Wigan are now heavily odds-on for a return to the Championship at 4/9. That makes a win here vital for their survival hope and with their counter attacking style seemingly more suited to playing away from home I wouldn't be surprised to see them return with all three points. If that did happen it would make the current 5/2 that West Brom go down look a great bet.
The return of Victor Moses from injury will also boost Wigan's survival hopes. He scored the winner when these sides met at the DW Stadium in a 1-0 win earlier in the season. Another 1-0 win for Wigan is 12/1.
West Brom meanwhile have certainly not been playing well and the 7/10 that they beat Wigan in this one seems far too short to me. They've lost nine of their last ten fixtures which included two cup defeats against Championship sides Ipswich and Reading.
Their only win in that time was a 3-2 success over Blackpool so anyone backing WBA at odds on should certainly think twice.
Paul Scharner left Wigan in the summer on a Bosman transfer with his agent talking of interest from the likes of Aston Villa and Liverpool. Unfortunately for the eccentric Austrian the offers were not forthcoming and he eventually agreed a switch with West Brom. When signing for The Baggies he insisted on a clause where he could leave if one of seven unnamed clubs wanted to sign him.
It appears none of those teams have yet to declare an interest so he remains in the Midlands. He is always dangerous from corners and free kicks so Wigan will have to be on their guard to stop the former Latic getting on the scoresheet. He's a generous 16/1 to score first.
I think Wigan are just too big a price and I would certainly recommend a bet on them at odds of 4/1. For even more value you can get 7/1 for them to be winning at half-time and full time and a whopping 10/1 for them to win by two goals or more. In the correct score market I am going for 3-1 to the visitors at 40/1.