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Stuart Dalgleish 29th Jan 2011 - 21:03

You’re Notts going to see a shock in this one

Notts County v Manchester City - FA Cup fourth round, 14:00 live on ITV1

The Millionaires of Manchester travel to the very briefly millionaires of Nottingham, although County's money seemed to disappear rather quickly, for this FA Cup fourth round clash.

City (2/5) will surely ring the changes with a trip to Birmingham to come during the week, but even their back-up players will be good enough to beat an out-of-form Notts County (6/1, the draw is 15/4).

The likes of Jo (4/1 first goal), James Milner (13/2) and Patrick Vieira (11/1) will all fancy their chances of starting the match after having little game time recently, Edin Dzeko (11/4) could start up front with Jo as I imagine Carlos Tevez (5/2) will be rested.

It can be difficult to predict the team for these sort of clubs though in cup games, they don't want to totally disrespect the opposition, but at the same time if you're chasing on three or four fronts then you can't play your best team each week.

County are in trouble at the wrong end of the table and realistically should save some of their first-teamers for the league, but there will be a bumper crowd at Meadow Lane so Paul Ince can't really play a reserve team or the fans that have spent their hard-earned will be a bit annoyed!

Sometimes that's the call you have to make as a manager though, the league is the number one priority, and with their midweek opponents Walsall smashing in six this weekend they can't afford to play that match with a fatigued team, if they lose for a sixth time on home turf this season then they'll be sucked towards the relegation zone.

The Magpies do have games in hand on the teams around them, and the likelihood is that they'll get out of the mire as there are worse teams than them in this division, but they have started to struggle recently having scored just one goal in their last three games since defeating Sunderland in the last round.

The man that scored that goal was Lee Hughes (7/1), and the controversial striker is vital to County's chances on Sunday afternoon, as he was at the Stadium of Light in the third round when he scored the goal to clinch victory.

The former West Brom man has 11 goals this season and his strike partner Craig Westcarr (8/1) has 10 to his name, although he hasn't scored in his last three and only has three goals in his last 12 games.

If these two can get at a probable weakened City back-line and try 'rough them up' a bit then the hosts might have a chance, as it is though I just think that the quality of City's squad should see them have more than enough to get into the fifth round.

Should the Citizens score early doors (2/1 for a goal up to and including the 15th minute, 11/4 for City to score in that time zone), it could get embarrassing, I would definitely be tempted on the handicap markets - 19/20 on City -1 goal looks nailed on to me, even the 5/2 on -2 goals is a great price.

With goals expected, we've give you the chance to get a cash-boost with our Match Winner offer, we're enhancing the price on a hat-trick to be scored in the match to a rather attractive looking 8/1. When you think of the players that Roberto Mancini could play, the chances of their being a treble is pretty good.



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