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Nic Ladds 17th Nov 2009 - 16:06

Poulter ready to claim big prize at his time of year

While it would be easy to build this tournament around the top four who can't be touched in the money list, this is a quality field that has assembled in Dubai and the spoils can go to an Englishman but not 14/1 Lee Westwood or 18/1 Ross Fisher, but 22/1 hope, Ian Poulter.

Not everyone's favourite golfer but Poulter has talent on his day, and lots of it. He came back from a break to win the Barclays Singapore Open before a poor third round cost him in the HSBC Champions when he was looking good then followed up with a fifth in the UBS Hong Kong Open last week.

Solid displays in the Masters, US Open and PGA Championship show he can rise to the big occasion and he goes well late in the year as he showed back in 2004 by capturing the final tournament, the Volvo Masters Andalucia at Valderrama.

The battle between the leading four in the money has been well documented and can be read about here and of Rory McIlroy (9/1), Westwood, Fisher and Martin Kaymer (12/1), Kaymer is fancied to put in the biggest show of the three.

He appeared to have the world at his feet before his injury which resulted in a layoff and now he's had a few rounds back he should be fit enough to compete and that spells trouble for the whole field and this talented young German is certainly more prolific than market leader McIlroy and he is fresh and has arrived in Dubai early to get some practice on the Earth Course.

When you consider that McIlroy is 9/1, the price begins to look laughable when a triple Major winner like Padraig Harrington is 14/1 and he will thrive under the spotlight and the inevitable hype and media frenzy that will be created in Dubai.

Ernie Els at 14/1 looks a little short but on his best form could take this at a canter while Retief Goosen is 25/1 and if Geoff Ogilvy can recapture anything like his best form then 33/1 would be a huge price.

Although we do know little about the course, one thing we know for sure is that it is very long at nearly 7700 yards and one man who that should hold no fears for at a whopping price is Sweden's Johan Edfors at 125/1.

He is a big hitter but to go with that has sound stats in the GIR stats and shoots plenty of birdies when he is in the mood and with three European Tour titles to his name he knows how to win and could well reward each way backers at a healthy price as William Hill pay 1/4 the odds for the first five places.

All eyes will be on the leading four in the money list to see who looks likely to take home the mammoth cash prize for coming first but in a quality field you can be sure they won't have an easy ride and this should be a fantastic conclusion to what has been an extraordinary season.

Recommendation:

Martin Kaymer - 12/1

Ian Poulter - 22/1

Johan Edfors - 125/1

 
 
 

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