Riding on a Horsey at the Castello Masters
Punters are likely to take one look at the market for the Castello Masters and rub their eyes in disbelief as Sergio Garcia is in as 6/1 favourite suggesting course form could count for everything this week.
Garcia won the inaugural tournament of this last year by three strokes and his father is the club pro here so he would love to capture this title again on the course he grew up playing on and obviously knowledge of every inch of the course is going to be a massive help.
Sergio's horror putting display last time in the Madrid Masters when he was looking good after two days which saw him fade back to 17 you would leave the 6/1 well alone, but it really depends on how much emphasis you want to put on course form as if you believe it counts for all then he will win this with something to spare but it is hard to take single figures about a man so prone to trophy costing errors.
So, who can we take the Spaniard on within his own back yard? Of the front runners, Soren Hansen at 14/1 will no doubt be in the mix but the man's win record is dire so he is opposed, while Angel Cabrera is playing in the Grand Slam of Golf for two days before so may not even compete or will surely be fatigued at 16/1, while 20/1 Martin Kaymer is recovering from a couple of broken toes.
Charl Schwartzel is one who know has shown time and again that he loves playing in these climates having won the Spanish Open and Madrid Masters in the last two years and a solid sixth last time out preceded by a 23 in Madrid which would have been better but he had to borrow clubs shows he is in good heart and looks sure to go close again at 20/1.
David Lynn is the next pick with the Englishman having finished in a share of fourth here last year and in the last month or so he has been the model of consistency without quite getting to the top spot, but he seems to play well at this time of year and should be in contention come Sunday at 66/1.
A number of players will be looking for a big cash in order to enhance their chances of qualifying for the Race To Dubai so expect big performances from Darren Clarke (50/1), Marcel Siem (50/1) and Jose Manuel Lara (100/1), but a chance is taken on a young Englishman to earn his stripes and enhance his Race To Dubai chances.
David Horsey at 100/1 has shown some great signs of potential this year in his first full season as a pro having qualified first from the Challenge Tour in 2008 and he sits not far out of the qualifying for the big one at the end of season.
He finished eighth in the Open de Espana this year showing he enjoys the climates and his opening 66 two weeks ago in the Madrid Masters showed his ability to shoot low and at a massive price of 100/1 he could well reward each way backers with William Hill paying 1/4 odds for the first five places.
Garcia will be determined to do well this week and it is conceivable he could take this at a canter on his home course but single figures about a man who hasn't won this year does not appeal, and without him in contention this field looks wide open and with so much to play for still, it should be an ultra-competitive week.
Charl Schwartzel - 20/1
David Lynn - 66/1
David Horsey - 100/1