Scandinavians set to master Portugal
Having hit the crossbar last week after a triple bogey in the first round, Alexander Noren is back to make amends at odds of 33/1 and take the Portugal Masters this week.
The Swede made a surge up the leader board on the three rounds following his first where a three over eight at a par five put paid to his chances before excellent rounds of 67, 67 and 65 saw him finish in a share of fourth come Sunday.
We said last week he loves this part of the world and his maiden tour win in the Omega European Masters should propel the Swede on to bigger and better things and finishes of 12 and 16 here the last two years show he likes the course and looks a belting 33/1 shot to give it a good go at securing his second win.
This has the mark of an unusually strong field for this competition and market leaders Rory McIlroy (10/1), Padraig Harrington (12/1) and Lee Westwood (16/1) are the three most talented golfers in the field but with just one tour win between them this year, they are best left at the prices.
Alvaro Quiros who won this last year clearly loves the course and his big-hitting means he has the ability to shoot a very low round but his performance last week in a venue he should have gone well at was mediocre and at 25/1 is to overlooked.
The second selection is a player who like Noren had a week last week in the shape fellow Scandinavian, Finland's Miko Ilonen who is availabelat 80/1 and last week played three superb rounds of golf to finish second in the Madrid Masters.
His opening 74 seemed to thwart his chances but he came back admirably with 63, 63 and 66 to finish in a clear second and secure his card for next season.
Now he has secured his card, he can relax and play the kind of golf he wants to with no pressure and in the same kind of climates as his effort last week should have a great chance of having a good stab at the win at a generous 80/1.
Wouldn't put anyone off backing last week's winner Ross McGowan at 50/1 who is playing exceptionally well at the moment but it is so rare that a player wins two in a row that he is left alone.
The final selection also at odds of 80/1 is Portuguese national, Jose - Filipe Lima who has been playing his trade on the challenge tour this season after losing his card last year.
This seems to have done him the world of good though as he has comfortably finished second on the tour to claim his card back to mix it with the big boys next year so he comes in to this tournament relaxed and keen to show what he can do in his home country.
He was right in contention in this very tournament in 2007 until blowing it on the final round but with confidence restored and finishes of first and second on his last two Challenge Tour outings, he comes here with a good chance of mixing it at the top of the leader board.
Don't forget about the host of markets that William Hill are offering on the golf, including 1st round leader, top 10 finish and a host of tournament match bets.
Alexander Noren - 33/1
Miko Ilonen - 80/1
Jose - Filipe Lima - 80/1