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Nic Ladds 11th Mar 2009 - 12:32

Tiger's time will come - but not with Geoff in this mood

Surprise, surprise, he's only been back two weeks but at odds of 10/3, Tiger Woods is already stealing the thunder from pretty much everyone.

Tiger is returning to a tournament that he has won no fewer than six times, including at this very course in 2007.

He holds nearly every record going in the tournament including the course record. There will be some who think the 10/3 is a huge price considering, and there is no doubt if he wasn't returning from injury he would be a lot shorter.

However, he is returning from injury and while he is no doubt the most talented golfer on the planet, he may well be building himself back up for a serious assault on The Masters and will obviously still be getting back in to the swing of things.

So while I wouldn't put anyone off having a punt on the world number one, there could be safer options at bigger prices.

Some course form could be key here as the 'Blue Monster' as Doral is known has water on 12 of the holes as well as over 100 bunkers; meaning accuracy off the tee could be paramount.

One man who will get on fine at Doral is Geoff Ogilvy. At odds of 10/1 he will be an extremely popular selection this week but with good reason.

The Australian has won twice already so far this year and won this tournament last year. He came an excellent third in 2007 (both performances were at Doral) and as he is clearly in such good heart there is no good reason to not side with him again.

World number two Sergio Garcia put in a solid, if unspectacular few rounds last week. He has course form having come in a share of third at Doral two years ago and a big win could be round the corner for 'El Nino' and he can be backed at odds of 16/1 to make it happen this weekend.

Phil Mickelson who is also 16/1 has just burst in to form at the right time. After a series of dismal starts this season he won the Northern Trust Open for the second year running and now 'Lefty' is back to winning ways, with no cut this week, he will be a constant threat to all.

Rory McIlroy continued his trend of being ultra-consistent as he finished in a share of 13th place in the Honda Classic and if handling the course, is bound to be there abouts again and can be backed at 20/1 in the betting.

Below McIlroy in the betting are a host of big names who all have their chance. Paul Casey is clearly in good heart following his appearance in the Accenture Match Play final (where he was soundly beaten by Ogilvy) and is 25/1 for this.

Ernie Els is also 25/1 and has won this tournament before. Anthony Kim undoubtedly has the talent but injury worries and recent performances put us off him at 25/1.

Zach Johnson would appear to have a big chance with a couple of good finishes here and solid form coming in to the tournament, he looks the best of the 25/1 shots.

Jim Furyk looks to have a decent chance at a decent price. He can be backed at 35/1 and won the Ford Championship here in 2000 and came joint second last year.

While he is yet to really get firing this season he has played some decent golf including an excellent 66 in the first round of the Northern Trust before blowing it on the third day.

At bigger price, last week's shock winner Young-Eun Yang can be backed at 100/1 to follow up this victory in the Honda Classic.

Anders Romero, although wildly inconsistent is capable of playing excellent golf and if on a going day could be worth a few quid at 80/1 while both Hunter Mahan and Boo Weekly at 80/1 seem a little on the long side.

While no doubt everyone will be eagerly watching a certain Mr Woods to see how he gets on, Geoff Ogilvy can happily go about his business and reward backers once again.

Also don't forget to check out all out two ball and three ball betting which will be on going throughout the tournament.

Recommendation:
Geoff Ogilvy - 10/1
Jim Furyk - 35/1
Boo Weekly - 80/1

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