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Nic Ladds 10th Aug 2009 - 10:28

Trust Tiger to make it a massive margin

If the betting is anything to go by then this PGA Championship looks like it could go right to the wire with the playoff edging favouritism at odds of 12/5 in the winning margin market.

A look over the last 20 years shows no real trend with a playoff and 1 having been the result five times each although in the last 12 years there have only been two playoffs.

The 1 margin can be backed at odds of 5/2 which will grab the attention of many a punter as this has been the winning margin in four of the last 10 renewals and was the margin when Rich Beem defeated Tiger Woods at Hazeltine in 2002.

Coming in next in the market is victory by four shots or more at 10/3 in the betting which last happened in 2006 when Woods handed the field a five shot beating at Medinah Country Club.

Tiger is coming in to this tournament in absolutely blistering form having won the Buick Open and most recently the WGC Bridgestone Invitational for the seventh time which leaves him seeking a hat trick of victories, a run which he completed three years ago in these very events.

The thinking could be that if you fancy Tiger to win then you may well fancy him to destroy the field and realistically he is the only person who you can see winning by a big margin, but seeing as he is 13/8 for outright victory, many may see the 10/3 on offer as a great bet.

The other two options are a winning margin of two shots priced at 7/2 and three shots available at 9/2. Fans of trends will be interested to hear that the last two years have both ended in two shot margins of victory while you have to go all the way back to 1992 for a three shot win.

The thinking is that if Tiger fires on a difficult course that he can handle then the 10/3 looks a good bet but if he doesn't then a play off or one shot victory look the call - if take Beem out of the equation last time at Hazeltine Tiger was four shots clear of the field and it is hard to see who will stay with him all the way.

Tiger was phenomenal in clawing back the three shots he was behind Padraig Harrington at Firestone, and on a course he know that others may struggle with this could be a capitulation and the 10/3 on offer about a 4 stroke or more margin of victory looks the bet.


Margin of victory 4 strokes or more - 10/3

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