Greyhound Derby preview - second round heats 9-16
William Hill's odds compiler Ian Magor gives us his views on Saturday's second-round heats of the williamhill.com Derby. Every single heat of the Derby can be watched, for free, live on William Hill TV.
King Edward won well last time but, on a night of fast times, he still didn't break the 29 second barrier. He does provide a significant obstacle for favourite, Westmead Grant to negotiate here and the value lies inside. Lyreen Mover showed really good pace to the final bend last week but looks vulnerable to a finisher and if Moneygall Obama can get a better run than he did last week he can track round and take things up before the line.
This is very tricky. Sleeping Urban and Cabra Exclusive are likely to set the fractions and Gilbeyhall Jake and Craighall Horse look drawn the wrong way round to be confident of getting into a pitch to hunt them down. Blonde Button did nothing wrong last week behind Mesedo Blue and, virtually guaranteed here to lead up Bada Who, he looks the definite value call.
Ten Large Down moved severely right from the boxes last week, forcing many people to question his seeding. He does actually rail as tightly as most once he hits the first bend but he is quick enough away to avoid acting as much of an impediment to the field at lid-rise; the field are then unlikely to act as much of an impediment to Ten Large striding out to victory from that point.
This represents the toughest heat of the round in terms of qualification. Nambisco, Yahoo Jamie and Forest Boss all looked to have decent prospects of going all the way this year after last week's first round; connections will all be hoping that their respective charges get first run here, otherwise such ambitions might be quickly extinguished. Nambisco must be somewhere near peak fitness after winning the Scottish Derby and Yahoo Jamie and Forest Boss are perhaps open to more improvement. As the outsider of the three, Forest Boss is a hesitant recommendation.
Many people will be backing Oran Legend here on the back of a powerful finish to nearly run down Lyreen Mover last week. However, John McGee's brindle could easily find himself short of room going into the first and is likely to find himself having too much to do. If Carden Bert can avoid Carrigoe Bigphil early he is well capable of skipping clear down the far side. This dog has kept company with the very best throughout his career and has never been disgraced so is well worth chancing at the odds.
Despite his clocking not backing me up, to my eye Toomaline Jack was in the top four most impressive first-round performances. His temperament has been questioned and some judges have said that his first look at a track may the best time to catch him but he had four runs in consecutive weeks at Shelbourne recently when runner-up in the Easter Cup and ran right up to his best form in the final. I see no reason to oppose him here.
Give Mesome Luck outpointed Jordansoilutions with some ease last week. He is just as well drawn this week whereas his victim looks to have a much more difficult make-up so his superiority ought to be confirmed. Whichever of Sevenheads Bay and Archaton Pine gets the rail going into the first could prove a more potent threat.
Millies Hawk did well to pick up Sleeping Urban last week as he had looked a dog who needs to lead but it has to be pointed out that his rival was hanging around off the last bend. It was hard to take too much encouragement from Tullymurry Act's first run and his Irish supporters will be hoping for better tonight. Romeo Reason ran well enough last week, only being picked up before the line by strong-running Craighall Horse. He has a very nice draw here inside Tullymurry Act and represents excellent value to hold on.