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Nic Ladds 21st Jul 2009 - 14:50

Conduit looks ready to make it four for Stoute

Some may fondly remember Sir Michael Stoute winning his first King George and Queen Elizabeth Stakes back in 1981 with Shergar and this time he has the less controversial Conduit heading the market at odds of 7/4 bidding to give him his fourth victory in the race.

There are unlikely to be any scams to kidnap Conduit as his career this season has taken time to get off the ground with two runs and no wins so far although it is widely expected  that this Breeders Cup Turf winner is about to show himself at his best.

He ran very well in his reappearance to finish second under top weight then followed it up with a third in the Eclipse behind Sea The Stars and Rip Van Winkle and without either of those present he looks the most solid in the field as he is expected to improve as the season goes on like he did last year.

Sir Michael Stoute's hand begins to look even stronger when you consider he has second favourite Tartan Bearer also running who is priced at 4/1 in the betting along with 12/1 hope Ask.

Tartan Bearer bravely went down to Vision D'Etat in the Prince Of Wales' Stakes where he was just done for pace at the end and the return this time to 1m4f will suit and is a live challenger to the favourite.

Ask meanwhile has won both his starts so far this season and comes here with no forlorn hope although until his win last time out he has been found wanting at the top level.

Place prospects are certainly a possibility as he has run well in the Arc and is obviously in fine fettle but isn't a definite runner as he may go straight to the St Leger but even if he does run will need to be at his very best to overturn his improving stable mates.

Another man who knows how to win this race is Aidan O'Brien who currently has no less than four horses entered in the race which are Frozen Fire at 14/1, Freemantle priced at 50/1, Rockhampton at odds of 150/1 and his best chance by far is 11/2 hope Golden Sword.

O'Brien has won the last two renewals of this race and in 2001 with Galileo and Golden Sword carries his main hope here but looks like he will have a better chance in the St Leger.

Having faded towards the end in the Derby he fared better next time being beaten in to second by stable mate Frozen Fire and while a bold show is likely he may be found out in the closing stages once again.

Look Here was involved in the thrilling finish with Ask and Youmzain last time in which she came out third but it was a smashing run none the less.

She stays 1m4f very well but has the right amount of speed so as not to get going too late. This has always been her target so certainly isn't here to make up the numbers but after a couple of near misses she is unlikely to turn over Conduit should he improve and there is little in it with Ask who is currently double her price.

Finally a mention to 20/1 chance Alwarry who is progressing very nicely and may have won last time but for having his path blocked. He was beaten that day by Dr Freemantle and Stoute's entries in this look better than that horse so a win this year looks a big ask but has big room for improvement and will be one to keep an eye on next year if not producing the goods this time.

The absence of Sea the Stars shouldn't take too much shine off this race and it certainly throws it wide open. If Conduit meets the expected level of improvement he will be very hard to beat indeed and four-year-olds have won the last five runnings of this race enhancing his credentials even more.

Conduit certainly looks the most solid bet at 7/4 and those looking for an alternative could do worse than taking a chance on Alwarry at 20/1 who has got loads of room for improvement and granted a clear run could surprise a few people.

Don't forget that as always William Hill will be offering our Best Odd Guaranteed promise where if you take the price and SP is bigger, then you will get paid out at the greater price.

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