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Nic Ladds 14th Jun 2009 - 17:27

The Coronation Stakes could belong to Ireland Again

The Coronation is often seen as a follow up to the 1000 Guineas and this year keeps up that trend with the winner of that Classic Ghanaati the favourite at odds of 9/4.

Before we look at the competitors it is worth noting that nearly all recent winners had taken part in the English, Irish or French Guineas and this has been a race for the shorter prices with the last double figure winner being Balisda back in 1999.

There are no trainer trends as Sir Michael Stoute is the only trainer to have won the race twice in the last 10 years, this may well be due to the varying degree of ability in each stable's three-year-old filly's from season to season.

Ghanaati's impressive win in the English 1000 Guineas makes her the obvious candidate to go on and take this and backers will believe she will have no problem confirming form over Rainbow View and Lahaleeb.

The only concern is the form of his trainer at this stage in the season. Hills is fantastic early in the season but a worrying stat shows just 2 winners from 107 runners at Royal Ascot since 2000, and that for many may be a huge concern.

The former, Rainbow View was one of the most exciting two-year-old's around and disappointed when sent off favourite for the 1000 Guineas, only managed a fifth placed finish which trainer John Gosden blamed on the fast going.

She followed it up with a fourth in the Oaks although she had excuses there when a gap closed on her when making a move although whether she would have won over 1m4f is questionable.

If you accept she had valid excuses in both her last runs then she comes her with a great chance and the odds of 6/1 on offer could be huge and tremendous each way value at the very least.

It would be a bet for the brave though as surely there can be no more excuses to offer should she suffer defeat again.

French raider Elusive Wave at 11/4 in the betting looks by far the biggest danger to Ghanaati.

She has won five of her six starts including the French 1000 Guineas where she had it all her own way up front and saw off the highly-regarded Fantasia.

Whether or not she will get it her own way as Ascot is questionable but you can be sure she comes her with a cracking chance.

Reggane at odds of 10/1 is the other French trained horse in the race but her claims are less obvious having only had two runs, the last of which ended in defeat when favourite and she is going to need to improve markedly to overturn the market leaders.

Again was winner of the Irish 1000 Guineas and at odds of 9/1 in a lot bigger than Ghanaati and Elusive Wave and could be a great each way bet.

She did look a little green in when winning the Irish classic having wandered over the track but largely thanks to Johnny Murtagh she managed to win despite this and having had her first run, she may be all the better for it now.

She has done virtually all her winning on soft or heavy ground but does have a win on firm ground to her name which suggests it should be largely immaterial to her.

The form of her race may not be as impressive as that of the other Classic winners in the race but she should give a great account of herself.

With Murtagh up in the saddle once again he should be able to keep her in check and if that first run of the season has got some of the quirks out of her then the 9/1 on offer looks cracking each way value against the market leaders.

The other one worth mentioning is John Oxx's Baliyana who was supplemented for the race which shows that connections think a huge amount of her.

She has a lot to find on form with most of her market rivals but she won't just be here to make up the numbers but and she is also 9/1 in the betting, although at the prices Again appeals more.

A mouth watering clash between the three Guineas winners from England, France and Ireland awaits us and not forgetting Rainbow View having another go at picking up where she left off as a two year old.

Barry Hills' form at Ascot is enough to put us off Ghanaati while Rainbow View has a lot to prove.

If Elusive Wave get her own way up front she without a doubt has a great chance to take the prize home for France and the 11/4 will certainly have its takers but at over triple the price, preference is for Again at the 9/1 on offer.

David Wachman's star won the Irish Guineas despite her obvious flaws and greenness and if she has ironed out some of those quirks then she should certainly be in the shake up under one of the best flat jockey's around.

Recommendation:
Again (each way) - 9/1

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