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Nic Ladds 12th Dec 2008 - 12:01

Cave can leave the Scarlets with red faces

Ulster at 5/4 in the betting will be going all out to give the Scarlets another beating as they did last week in the Heineken Cup pool stage.

Ulster won the match 26-16 to give themselves a slim chance of qualifying from pool four which is currently headed by Harlequins and in turn condemned the Scarlets to their tenth straight European defeat and sent them crashing out of the Heineken Cup.

Scarlets have the pleasure of home advantage and find themselves installed as 8/13 favourites. Ulster look much the better value as Scarlets have no chance of qualifying from the pools. Their focus will now be firmly on the Magners league and attempting to improve on their, so far, disappointing season.

Welsh international Morgan Stoddart picked up an injury against in last week's game against Ulster and is out for this match. However the likely return of second-row paring Simon Mailing and Scott MacLeod will give the Llanelli pack a much-needed boost.

Ulster who at 10/11 are receiving up three points on the handicap will be brimming with confidence after their victory last week and will be looking to keep up pressure on the group leaders with a decent win against the Scarlets. Llanelli will have a tough time justifying the 10/11 on offer especially giving Ulster a three point head-start.

Simon Danielli and Darren Cave who scored in the last game both pose potent threats for the Irish side and can be backed at 12/1 and 14/1 respectively for first try. Cave posed a constant threat in last week's game and will be full of confidence following his try last week and he is the pick to go over first once again.

Llanelli's biggest threat is likely to come from last week's try scorer Ceiron Thomas and Mark Jones who are 25/1 and 10/1 respectively to go over first.

There is a suspicion that neither side will go at it too hard in this encounter and pride rather than glory is up for grabs as Llanelli cannot qualify and Ulster have a very slim chance of qualifying for the next stage. As a result a tight affair could be on the cards and backing under 31 points at even money could be the call.

Recommendation:

Darren Cave first try scorer - 14/1

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