Nearly-men Gloucester to lose out again
An Anglo-Welsh final awaits us in the final of the EDF Energy trophy and has the makings of a classic as 4/6 favourites Cardiff Blues take on 5/4 underdogs Gloucester.
On first look this looks like a Blues victory all over. They have already beaten Gloucester twice this season in the Heineken Cup.
They dealt with a strong Toulouse team last week to ease through to the Heineken Cup semi-finals and have the stronger squad.
Gloucester however are not to be written off. Their passionate supporters will urge them on to raise their game which they are more than capable of.
They also know what it's like to taste victory in this cup, having won it on four previous occasions.
While The Cherry and Whites have the tag of 'nearly men' they are still battling away with a shot at silverware here and a chance at Premiership glory.
Unfortunately for Gloucester they are going to have to cope without key men Iain Balshaw and Mike Tindall who are injured while James Simpson-Daniel has been passed fit.
Olly Morgan has been in cracking form recently and if it weren't for Delon Armitage would surely be pushing for a regular England place and is 10/3 to score a try.
Cardiff's back line is incredibly strong with the likes of Leigh Halfpenny, Tom Shanklin and Jamie Roberts in the ranks, Gloucester's defence will be working hard and the trio are 2/1, 5/2 and 11/4 respectively to cross the line.
On neutral turf this should be close with the handicap set at Cardiff giving up 3 points at odds of 10/11, it's a case of pay your money and take your choice depending on where your allegiances lie.
Gloucester are also 10/11 in the betting in receipt of 3 points, and the best option if you fancy the Cherry and Whites is to back them in the match betting at 5/4.
In keeping with the train of thought that this will be a close game, winning margins of 6-10 and 11-15 in favour of Cardiff at odds of 11/2 and 8/1 respectively will be popular.
The Blues only beat Gloucester by four points at Kingsholm, and while the margin was bigger at the Millennium Stadium, this is on neutral turf with the passionate Gloucester support there to roar their boys on which can be a major factor in picking up a team's confidence.
If you fancy a win to the underdogs then perhaps a margin like 1-5 at 9/2 in the betting could be the option.
The feeling is that despite all Gloucester's passionate fans and desperate want to win, Cardiff will be too strong for them,
The Blues have been so impressive all through Europe this season and they should make it a hat-trick of victories against the Cherry and Whites.
Add in to the mix that Dean Ryan's side are missing two of their most key players and that they have two more must-win games coming up in the Guinness Premiership.
It all suggests that the EDF Trophy will be going back to Wales for the second year running with Cardiff following the Ospreys' win last year.
Cardiff -3 point - 10/11
Jamie Roberts to score a try - 11/4