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Stuart Dalgleish 27th Jan 2011 - 16:49

I Will…Make a mint with Murray

David Ferrer v Andy Murray - 08:40 live on William Hill TV

British number one Andy Murray has made it through to the semi-finals of the Australian Open, and to celebrate we're giving you another fantastic offer.

We GUARANTEE to be top price on Murray* (1/3, Ferrer 9/4) to win the match, and you have to say, it looks like a great bet.

The Scot has met David Ferrer twice on hard courts, and he's won both of them in straight sets with the most recent encounter coming in London at the World Tour Finals at the end of last season.

That match, as well as their hard court clash in the 2006 Canada Masters, was a best of three sets, so obviously Murray will have to do a bit more to get a clean-sweep of the Spaniard this time as the Grand Slams are best of five, it's 11/8 that Murray wins in three on Friday morning, a whopping 11/1 for Ferrer to demolish Murray in the minimum amount of sets.

I would think it's very unlikely that Ferrer can win that easily, all credit to him for beating Nadal in the quarter-finals, but like when Rafa faced Murray at the same stage last year, it was clear that the world number one wasn't fully fit.

The Spanish number two has had a fairly comfortable route through to the semis so far, aside from that meeting with Nadal of course, only needing to get past one player of note and that was in the first round against Nieminen; Russell, Berankis and Raonic have all been dispatched since then with minimal fuss.

One thing that Ferrer does have in his favour, is a positive head-to-head record over Murray - winning three of their five matches - however, Ferrer's three wins have come on his most favoured surface of clay, and the two Murray wins as previously stated were on the Scot's best surface - hard court.

With Murray's 'I'll attack when I'm ready' approach I think it will be plain sailing for him in this clash, Ferrer is a cracking player who finished the year in great form and already has a title in the bag this year (beating Nalbandian in Auckland), but he's not the sort of guy that will want long rallies as he's an aggressive, quick-fire player, and that will play right into the hands of the ultra patient Scot.

*High street bookmakers only, standard tennis rules apply.



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