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Rupert Wyman 1st Jul 2010 - 9:34

Murray to oust Nadal

Many Brits are ecstatic at the thought of Andy Murray winning this year's Wimbledon final. Yesterday, could barely have panned out better for the Scot.

The match against Nadal is worthy of the final, the winner of this match will without doubt be the outright favourite to win the tournament.

Murray has reached the semi-finals for the second year in a row.  However this year, Federer has already been knocked out of this Grand Slam. Federer was defeated by Berdych, who played some of the best tennis of his career.

Murray will not be intimidated by the prospect of playing Nadal, he arguably has the better recent record between the pair. Murray's lack of form on clay lets the figures down.

Earlier this year, Murray crushed Nadal 6-3, 7-6(2), 3-0 before the Spaniard retired in the Australian Open. Murray went on to lose to Federer in the final.

However, grass is Murray's favoured surface and Nadal is struggling with injury. Nadal is still playing at a fantastic level but he has admitted to suffering from pain in his knees during some of the matches at Wimbledon.

However, when Nadal was one set down to Soderling yesterday, it was probably his determination to avenge his defeat against Murray earlier this year that carried him through the round.

Nadal is the favourite priced at 4/7 for the win, with Murray available at 5/4. Both players have their fans at Wimbledon but many of Nadal's loyal supporters may well side with Murray for the match. Murray may represent Britain's only main realistic chance of Grand Slam success for a while.

The stats show that Murray and Nadal have met in eleven previous matches with Nadal holding a 7-4 record over Murray but Murray holds a 2-1 lead against the Spaniard in Grand Slam matches.

Murray is also in better form at Wimbledon this year, he has only dropped the one set. I think overall Nadal is the better player but he is struggling with knee problems at the moment and it could be wise to side with Murray to win the first set at 5/4.

Nadal has dropped five sets at Wimbledon this year and he struggled to match Soderling in the first set yesterday. However, he has a wonderful drive to win and if he finds himself a set down, he will definitely fight back.

Murray performed well after he was a set down and it was another set point to Tsonga yesterday and he can persevere and beat Nadal. The 9/2 on offer for Murray to win the match 3-1, looks the most achievable set betting score but I think the 5/4 on offer for Murray to win outright is a generous price.

The underdog Murray looks fitter, he is in better form and he has a better recent match record against Nadal.

This could finally be Andy Murray's year and the 2/1 for him to be BBC Sports Personality of the Year 2010, will not be available next week should he win Wimbledon.



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