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Nic Ladds 2nd Apr 2011 - 18:08

My heart says Nadal, my wallet says Djokovic...

As an avid tennis fan, you couldn't wish for a better finale to the ATP Miami.

As an avid tennis punter, I literally can't back one or the other.

Regardless of the 10/11 head-to-head match prices about both Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal in the Miami final, I still want a return on my investment.

So, the question remains... who is going to win the title in Miami?

Usually I would be backing the player who beat Roger Federer on the way to the final, with the thinking that the hard work has been done and the final is a foregone conclusion.

In this case, it would be the current world number one Rafael Nadal (10/11) who knocked out the old arch-rival, third ranked Roger Federer in two sets, 6-3, 6-2 in Friday evening's semi-final.

But, to back the Spaniard here, against Novak Djokovic (10/11), a player who stripped the powerful Mardy Fish 6-3,6-1 and who hasn't lost a match this side of Christmas, well, it's beyond even my strong heart.

I naturally favour Rafael Nadal.

To be honest, returns on backing the Spaniard have financed some of my finer posesions, but I have a feeling we're going to see a repeat of the Indian Wells final.

This was the Serb's last encounter with Nadal, only a fortnight ago, and it was 23-year-old Djokovic who outshined the top seed and went on to bag the Indian Wells title.

Rafael wasn't out of the match by any means, the Spaniard did win a set, but Novak dominated and notched up a 2-1 score in the final.

For either player to win the ATP Miami final 2-1, the price is a tempting 5/2.

I'm going to go against my own betting rules here, which are strictly head-to-head markets and massive steaks, to put my head on the block by saying the final will be a 2-1 finish, and at 5/2, you could have a small taste with a £20 bet on both players to win 2-1 at 5/2.

You're making a profit either way, provided that is indeed the result.

In my opinion, the 5/2 correct score bet is more backable than the 10/11 match prices.

Alternativly, if you just want to cheer on some cracking tennis and a full length match, we've got "Number of sets in the match" betting, where ‘3 sets' is priced at 23/20 (2 sets at 8/13).

These are just a couple of the 25+ betting markets available on the ATP Miami final.

Take a look at our tennis page and you may find something a bit different.

You can back the correct score in each set, breaks of serve, number of tie breaks, win or lose serve betting, and that's before we get into the mass of In-play markets available with William Hill.

Obviously, Rafael Nadal holds the winning record against the Serb Novak Djokovic, 16-8 to date, but it's Djokovic who is the form player and 2011 could be the year it all comes together for the Djoker.

When it comes down to it, my heart says Rafael Nadal, my head... and wallet say Novak Djokovic.

Bet now on the ATP Miami final with William Hill, then join us and watch all the live action (and in play betting) on William Hill TV!



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